Louisville at Miami (FL) College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Louisville Cardinals and Miami (FL) Hurricanes are set to face off on the grass at Hard Rock Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN2 and this pivotal ACC showdown gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Louisville at Miami (FL) Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The line for this ACC game is sitting at 5 points in favor of Miami (FL). The Cardinals are currently receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -220. This ACC matchup should offer some in-game betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 51.5 points.

The game’s total has swung lower after opening at 53. The original line (-5) hasn’t changed.

The Cardinals are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against conference opponents. The Hurricanes are 5-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play. The profitable Cardinals have gained 3.9 units so far and are 5-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.

The lackluster Hurricanes have lost 21.6 units this season. The team is 5-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-5.

These two ACC foes did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.

The Cards enter after a 28-21 win over Virginia on October 26. The defense did its part in the win, holding the Cavaliers to just 233 passing yards and 78 rushing yards. Hasise Dubois had a productive day for the Cavaliers in that one with 93 yards on seven catches. On the offense, Malik Cunningham completed six passes for only 126 yards and one touchdown. Javian Hawkins (136 yards on 28 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Cunningham (97 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Chatarius Atwell (six receptions, 122 yards, one TD) and Dez Fitzpatrick (one catch, 10 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Miami (FL) just got a one-sided 27-10 win over Florida State. The team’s defense did its job in the victory, limiting the Seminoles to just 172 passing yards and 31 rushing yards. Cam Akers had a productive outing in the loss, recording 66 rushing yards on 22 attempts for Florida State. For Miami (FL), Jarren Williams completed 21-of-37 passes for 313 yards and two touchdowns. DeeJay Dallas (61 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the running game while Brevin Jordan (six receptions, 48 yards) and Jeff Thomas (four catches, 84 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Louisville has run the ball on 65.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (FL) has an overall rush percentage of 47.1 percent. The Cardinals have run for 218 yards per game (including 194 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are putting up 111 rush yards per contest (101 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.

The Cards have logged 227 yards per contest through the air overall (250 per game against conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Hurricanes have recorded 269 pass yards per game (271.2 against ACC foes) and have 18 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Louisville has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 178 yards and throw for 259 yards per game. Miami (FL) has been a bit better than that, giving up 97.8 yards per game on the ground and 191.4 to opponents in the air. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.6 to opposing QBs, while the Cardinals have allowed a 6.85 ANY/A.

Cunningham has put up 946 pass yards on the year, and has completed 50-of-76 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and only one interception. Cunningham has an 11.42 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.27 over the past two games.

Jarren Williams has recorded 1,399 yards, nine TDs and three INTs for Miami (FL). His ANY/A sits at 6.96 for the season and 8.68 across his last two outings.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes Free Pick

SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Cardinals offense has tallied 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have put up six such plays.

The Louisville defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Miami (FL) has given up six such plays.

The Louisville offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Miami (FL) has created 11 such runs.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Hurricanes have given up five such runs.

The Miami (FL) D has recorded 34 sacks on the year while Louisville has just 18.

As a team, Louisville has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.4 over its last two.

Miami (FL) has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 1.8 over its past two.

Louisville has won four of its last five games SU, with a 35-point loss to Clemson on October 19th representing the only defeat over that span.

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