Louisiana Tech vs. UAB College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


A couple of schools that prefer to run the football, Coach Bill Clark and the UAB Blazers (-5) are set to host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Legion Field. ESPN+ is scheduled to have the TV rights and this crucial CUSA matchup starts at 3:30 p.m. ET. These schools faced off last year with the final result being a 28-7 victory for UAB.

Louisiana Tech vs. UAB Betting Predictions 11/23/2019

Louisiana Tech is the road underdog in this CUSA game and is currently getting 5 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to wager $200 to win $100 back on the Blazers (-200). The Bulldogs are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points early on, it would probably create a decent live betting opportunity.

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The O/U has yet to change after being initially posted at 46.5. Having said that, the line opened at -6 so square bettors have been hammering the Bulldogs.

Both of these teams have been profitable this season as the Bulldogs have gained 4.3 units and the Blazers are up 2.5 units.

The Bulldogs have gone 8-2 straight up (SU), including 5-1 SU against CUSA opponents. The Blazers are 7-3 SU overall and 4-2 SU in conference play.

The Bulldogs came up short to Marshall 31-10 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Thundering Herd to eat up the clock by rushing for 192 yards on 45 attempts, including three rush TDs. Obi Obialo had a productive day for the Thundering Herd in that one with 146 yards on eight catches. Offensively, the Bulldogs completed 22-of-38 passes for 194 yards and one interception. Aaron Allen went 19-for-32 for 159 yards while Westin Elliott completed three-of-six for 35 yards and one interception. Justin Henderson (87 yards on 21 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack. Smoke Harris (nine receptions, 91 yards) and Malik Stanley (seven catches, 82 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

UAB is coming off of a 37-10 win over UTEP. The Blazers defense held its ground in the victory, restricting the Miners to just 222 passing yards and 90 rushing yards. Jacob Cowing had a good outing in the loss for UTEP, recording 85 yards on five catches. For UAB, Dylan Hopkins completed five-of-10 passes for 96 yards and one touchdown. Jermaine Brown Jr. (116 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Hopkins (163 yards on 14 carries, one TD) led the running game while Myron Mitchell (two receptions, 47 yards, one TD) and Austin Watkins (one catch, 45 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Louisiana Tech has run the ball on 50.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UAB has a rush percentage of 61.2 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 175 rush yards/game (including 166 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 25 scores on the ground this year. The Blazers are logging 156 rush yards per game (173 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.

The Bulldogs offense has averaged 282 yards through the air overall (273 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing scores so far. The Blazers have put up 214 pass yards per game (202.7 against CUSA competition) and have 17 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Louisiana Tech has allowed 142 rush yards and 251 pass yards per game. The UAB D has allowed 168.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 99.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Blazers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.84 to opposing QBs, while the Bulldogs have allowed a 5.55 ANY/A.

J’mar Smith has put up 2,483 passing yards on the year, and has completed 198-of-304 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Smith has a 7.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.24 over the past two games.

In the home locker room, Dylan Hopkins has completed 8-of-20 passes for 134 yards, two TDs and one INT. Hopkins’ ANY/A stands at 5.95 for the year and 2.42 across his past two outings.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at UAB Blazers Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – UAB, ATS Winner – UAB, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The O/U for Louisiana Tech’s last game was set at 54. The under cashed in the team’s 31-10 defeat to Marshall.

Louisiana Tech has produced 4.0 yards per carry across its last three outings and 3.8 over its last two.

UAB has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.2 over its last two.

The UAB offense has lost five fumbles this season while Louisiana Tech has lost seven.

In its last three matches, Louisiana Tech is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for UAB’s last game was set at 42.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-10 victory over UTEP.

In its last three games, UAB is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Bulldogs offense has registered nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Blazers have put up 10 such plays.

The Louisiana Tech defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UAB has given up five such plays.

The Louisiana Tech offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UAB has created nine such runs.

The Bulldogs defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Blazers have given up 10 such runs.

The UAB defense has sacked opposing QBs 34 times this year. Louisiana Tech has recorded just 19 sacks.


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