Louisiana at Coastal Carolina College Football Betting Pick 11/7/19


A couple of teams that prefer to run the football, Coach Billy Napier and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (-14) are set to pay a visit to the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Brooks Stadium. This pivotal SBC showdown will get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on ESPNU. These schools faced off last year with the final result being a 30-28 victory for Coastal Carolina.

Louisiana at Coastal Carolina Betting Odds 11/7/2019

Coastal Carolina is a big home underdog in this SBC game and is currently receiving 14 points. The Ragin’ Cajuns are also receiving -735 moneyline odds while the Chanticleers are +500. If one side finds paydirt early it would result in a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 57.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Ragin’ Cajuns. The opening line was 12 and the game’s over/under has not changed after it was set initially at 57.5.

The Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.9 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Chanticleers have lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-3 ATS and the over has hit in five of their games.

The Ragin’ Cajuns have gone 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Chanticleers are 4-4 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play.

The Ragin’ Cajuns are trying to keep things going after a solid 31-3 win over Texas State last week in which Levi Lewis completed 13 passes for only 183 yards and two touchdowns. Raymond Calais (83 yards on 21 rushes) and Elijah Mitchell (126 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Jalen Williams (three receptions, 50 yards) and Pearse Migl (two catches, 18 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Coastal Carolina is coming off of a 36-35 win over Troy. The team’s defense allowed the Trojans to pass for 385 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 115 yards and two scores. Kaylon Geiger was a bright spot in the loss, posting 145 yards on 12 catches for Troy. For Coastal Carolina, Bryce Carpenter completed 32-of-45 passes for 285 yards and one touchdown. Carpenter (46 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and CJ Marable (52 yards on 14 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Jaivon Heiligh (12 receptions, 107 yards) and Isaiah Likely (six catches, 49 yards, one TD) led all Coastal Carolina pass-catchers in the win.

Louisiana has run the ball on 61.7 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 65.9 percent across possessions in conference play. Coastal Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 58.6 percent, and has carried the ball 55 percent of the time against SBC opponents. The Ragin’ Cajuns have produced 288 rush yards per game (including 252 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 29 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chanticleers are logging 195 rush yards per game (145 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Ragin’ Cajuns should own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has produced 6.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Chanticleers have registered 4.7 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.

The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has logged 203 yards per game through the air overall (165 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Chanticleers have put up 210 pass yards per game (209.5 against SBC competition) and have 14 total pass scores.

Louisiana has let opponents rush for an average of 152 yards and pass for 199 yards per game. The Coastal Carolina D has allowed 175.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 172.9 yards per game on the ground. The Ragin’ Cajuns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.86 to opposing QBs, while the Chanticleers have allowed a 6.25 ANY/A.

Lewis has amassed 1,294 passing yards on the year, and has completed 105-of-167 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Lewis has a 7.80 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.67 over the last two outings.

Bryce Carpenter has connected on 53-of-80 passes for 547 yards, six TDs and zero INTs for Coastal Carolina. His ANY/A stands at 7.51 for the year and 6.19 across his past two outings.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Louisiana, ATS Winner – Louisiana, O/U – Over


Betting Notes

The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chanticleers have put up two such plays.

The Louisiana defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Coastal Carolina has given up three such plays.

The Louisiana offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Coastal Carolina has created 13 such runs.

The Ragin’ Cajuns defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have given up eight such runs.

The Louisiana defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 16 times this year. Coastal Carolina has recorded 15 sacks.

Louisiana has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its past three contests and 6.4 over its last two.

Coastal Carolina has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.8 over its past two.

In its last three games, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Louisiana’s last game was 55. The under cashed in the team’s 31-3 victory over Texas State.

In its last three matches, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Coastal Carolina’s last match was 61. The over cashed in that 36-35 win over Troy.

Louisiana has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a 10-point defeat to Appalachian State on October 9th representing the only loss over that span.


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