Home NBA Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds Pick 02/29/20

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds Pick 02/29/20

The Los Angeles Lakers (45-12) will try to prolong their seven-game winning streak against the stumbling Memphis Grizzlies (28-31) at FedExForum. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Preview

The last time the Lakers played, they won big over the Golden State Warriors, 116-86, easily covering as 11-point favorites. Anthony Davis led Los Angeles in scoring with 23 points on 6-for-13 shooting. Los Angeles dominated every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.207 (above their season average of 0.198) and a turnover percentage of 13.9 (worse than their season average of 12.9). For those same stats, Golden State was 0.113 and 23.6, respectively. The two teams combined to score 202 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 219.

The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after being unable to cover as 12-point favorites in their 104-101 loss to the Sacramento Kings in their last contest. With 13 points and 25 rebounds, Memphis’ Jonas Valanciunas had a good game. Sacramento had a turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 12.5). Memphis, meanwhile, held the Kings to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.0 (below their season average of 21.8). The two squads collectively scored 205 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 237.

These two teams have met three times already this season, with the Lakers winning all three. Davis recorded 28 points, 13 rebounds and seven blocks in the most recent matchup, in which the Lakers defeated the Grizzlies 117-105, covering as 10.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to put up 222 points, which was 13 points below the projected point total of 235 points. The Lakers played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.302 and a turnover percentage of 11.9. For those same stats, the Grizzlies were 0.174 and 13.2, respectively.

Of Los Angeles’ 57 games, 29 have finished under the O/U total, while 29 of Memphis’ 58 games have finished over the projected point total. The Lakers have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (45-12 vs. 28-31) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (31-25-1 vs. 30-27-1).

The offense of Memphis (19th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 107.4) will face off against the top-notch defense of Los Angeles (third in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 103.9). The Lakers should have the advantage on that end of the court.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Lakers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Grizzlies rank 21st (5.4).

Los Angeles ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.7) while Memphis ranks 14th (45.0).

Los Angeles ranks third in steals per game (8.6) while Memphis ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (7.9).

Los Angeles is 16-13 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 17-12 ATS at home.

The total has gone under in 15 of the Grizzlies’ 29 home games, while 16 of the Lakers’ 29 road games have gone over.

Memphis is 4-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 16-0.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Grizzlies are 27-24 and the Lakers are 41-11.

The Lakers rank sixth in assists per game (26.2) while the Grizzlies rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).

Los Angeles averages 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).

The Grizzlies average 17.8 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Lakers rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).

The Lakers average 53.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the league. The Grizzlies rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).

Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (14.7) while Memphis ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five outings, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 14.8, up from 2.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (1.4 below their season average).

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