Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics Free Prediction 01/20/20


A low-scoring game should be expected when the Boston Celtics (27-14) and the Los Angeles Lakers (34-8) clash at TD Garden. Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020, and it can be seen on TNT.

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Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics Odds Preview

The Lakers were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last contest, 124-115, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. LeBron James led Los Angeles in scoring with 31 points on 13-for-25 shooting. Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 24.4) and a turnover percentage of 13.7 (worse than their season average of 12.7). For those same stats, Houston was 24.4 and 16.3, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 239 points, which came in over the projected point total of 234.5.

In the Celtics’ previous outing, they were 4-point favorites and fell to the Phoenix Suns, 123-119. Marcus Smart was Boston’s leading scorer with 37 points on 13-for-25 shooting. Phoenix held the Celtics to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.7 (below their season average of 24.0). Boston, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.4 vs. 12.8). The two clubs combined to put up 242 points, which was well over the projected point total of 220.

This matchup figures to be low-scoring as a pair of the league’s best defenses battle. Boston currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency (104.4) and Los Angeles is third (102.9).

Of Los Angeles’ 42 games, 22 have finished under the O/U total, while 21 of Boston’s 41 games have finished under the O/U total. The Lakers have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (34-8 vs. 27-14), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Los Angeles is 23-18-1 ATS, while Boston is 23-17-1 ATS.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. In the most recent contest, the Celtics won 120-107. Boston had a better effective field goal percentage (0.591 vs. 0.511). Los Angeles, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of making free throws (14-18; 77.8 percent).

Lakers at Celtics ATS Prediction

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Lakers rank fifth in assists per game (26.1) while the Celtics rank 19th (23.1).

Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Los Angeles ranks 10th (16.2).

Los Angeles ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.6) while Boston ranks 16th (12.9).

On the road, Los Angeles is 12-9 ATS with 11 overs and 10 unders.

Boston is 11-10 ATS at home with 11 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Boston is 9-2 and Los Angeles is 14-0.

The Celtics are 26-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Lakers are 30-8.

The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (53.8) while the Celtics rank ninth (48.9).

Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.3) while Boston ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).

The Celtics rank seventh in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Lakers rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).

The Lakers rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while the Celtics rank ninth (44.3).

Boston ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (8.0).

Bettings Trends:

Boston is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs.

The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 6.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 124.8 points per game (10.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (5.8 above their season average).

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