Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick 12/22/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-14) will be at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they clash with the Los Angeles Clippers (22-9). Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Preview

The last time the Clippers played, they had no trouble getting past the San Antonio Spurs, 134-109, despite being 5-point underdogs. Kawhi Leonard was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 11-for-16 shooting. Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 24.2) and a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 13.3). San Antonio was 11.8 and 16.6, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 243 points, which was over the O/U total of 236.5.

The Thunder come in on a high note after easily covering the 2.5-point spread against the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 126-108. With 32 points on 13-for-18 shooting, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the top scorer from either team. Oklahoma City’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Phoenix. The Thunder had a rate of 0.621 (above their season average of 0.530), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.500. The two teams combined to score 234 points, which finished over the O/U total of 224.5.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 178 points, well under the projected point total of 221.5. The Clippers won 90-88, but were unable to cover as 8-point favorites. The Clippers played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.5 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.460. The Thunder were 20.0 and 0.420, respectively, for those same stats. Montrezl Harrell put up a double-double in the victory with 28 points and 12 rebounds.

Of Los Angeles’ 30 games that accepted bets, 17 have finished under the O/U total, while 15 of Oklahoma City’s 28 games have finished under the projected point total. The Clippers hold the clear advantage straight up (SU) (22-9 vs. 14-14), but the Thunder have the superior against the spread (ATS) record (16-11-1 vs. 16-13-1).

The physical Oklahoma City offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Thunder rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.237, while Los Angeles ranks 20th in FTA rate allowed (0.212).

Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Thunder rank second in three pointers allowed per game (30.5) while the Clippers rank 22nd (34.8).

Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Los Angeles ranks 16th (5.0).

Los Angeles ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (16.0).

Oklahoma City ranks 20th in steals per game (7.4) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.3).

Los Angeles is 6-8 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 8-6-1 ATS at home.

The Clippers have 7 overs and 7 unders in 14 road games.

Of the Thunder’s 15 home games, they have 8 overs and 7 unders.

When allowing below 100 points, Los Angeles is 10-0 and Oklahoma City is 5-3.

The Clippers are 20-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Thunder are 14-8.

The Clippers average 49.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Thunder rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6).

Los Angeles ranks first in second chance points per game (15.1) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.0).

The Clippers rank seventh in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Thunder rank last (8.6).

The Clippers rank 18th in assists per game (23.3) while the Thunder rank 26th (21.8).

Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds per game (48.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (42.3).

Bettings Trends:

Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (2.9 above their season average).

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