Home College Basketball Free College Basketball Picks Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteaters ATS Odds Pick 03/12/20

Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteaters ATS Odds Pick 03/12/20

The Big West Conference Tourney showdown between the UC Irvine Anteaters (21-11, 13-3 BigWst) and the Long Beach State Beach (11-21, 6-10 BigWst) will take place at Honda Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 136.5 points with UC Irvine opening as a 12.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.

Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteaters Free Preview

In the Beach’s last game, they were beaten by the Cal State Fullerton Titans, 75-69. They were unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. Long Beach State’s Michael Carter III put together a solid performance, leading both teams in scoring with 21 points on 6-for-13 shooting. Cal State Fullerton had a better effective field goal percentage (0.533 vs. 0.474). Long Beach State, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (15-18; 83.3 percent). The two teams combined to put up 144 points, which was over the O/U total of 140.5.

The Anteaters failed to cover as 11.5-point favorites in their 72-70 loss to the CSUN Matadors in their last outing. Brad Greene was UC Irvine’s leading scorer with 14 points on 6-for-9 shooting. CSUN had a much better free throw rate (0.204 vs. 0.061). UC Irvine, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 44.7 (above their season average of 35.0). The two teams combined to put up 142 points, which was under the projected point total of 151.

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, UC Irvine should have a substantial advantage. The upper-echelon Anteaters offense ranks 58th in the nation in that metric at 0.526, while the bottom-tier Long Beach State defense is ranked 277th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.513). Moreover, the Beach rank 274th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.4 percent), while the Anteaters rank 47th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.4 percent).

Of Long Beach State’s 30 games that accepted bets, 16 have finished over the O/U total, while 16 of UC Irvine’s 30 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Anteaters have a significant advantage. They are 21-11 SU and 15-14-1 ATS, while the Beach are 11-21 SU and 13-15-2 ATS.

Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteaters Betting Prediction

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – UC Irvine, ATS Winner – UC Irvine, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Anteaters rank 44th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Beach rank 225th (8.0).

Long Beach State is 41st in the country with 2.6 blocks allowed per game while UC Irvine is 46th with 2.7 blocks allowed per game.

UC Irvine ranks 37th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while Long Beach State ranks 262nd (15.6).

The Anteaters rank ninth in rebounds allowed per game (30.3) while the Beach rank 233rd (37.0).

UC Irvine ranks 73rd in three pointers allowed per game (19.7) while Long Beach State ranks 269th (24.7).

Bettings Trends:

UC Irvine is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Long Beach State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Anteaters’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 8.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Beach have scored an average of 70.6 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 71.6 points per game (3.5 below their season average).

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