LIVERPOOL vs. WATFORD – Match of the Day (Round 31)

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Liverpool has an opportunity to return to the 3rd position in the Premier League with a win over Watford as Tottenham plays the FA Cup this weekend, so the Reds must take this chance and surpass Spurs in the standings. On the other hand, the Hornets are quite safe in the middle of the table and they don’t have special motivation in this clash, so it should be a comfortable victory for the hosts.

Liverpool vs. Watford

Three-Way: 1: Liverpool -526; X: +700 Draw; 2: Watford +1400 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -2: Liverpool -119; Watford +106

Total 3.5 goals: Over +100; Under -139

LIVERPOOL

The Reds were in an excellent form of seven unbeaten matches, but they lost the biggest game in English football as Man United defeated them 2-1 at Old Trafford last week. Marcus Rashford scored an almost identical pair of goals to give the hosts the 2-0 first-half lead, while Eric Bailly’s own goals gave Liverpool a glimmer of hope in the second half. However, the Red Devils defended very well to fend off Jurgen Klopp’s men, while his own defense received plenty of criticism once again as Dejan Lovren lost two vital air duels with Romelu Lukakau prior to Rashford’s goals. Liverpool is currently in the 4th place with 60 points, five behind United and one behind Tottenham, so a potential win here would send them right back to the 3rd spot.

Liverpool played 43 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 24 victories, 13 draws, and six losses, with a goal difference of 106:49, which is 3.60 goals per contest on average. The Reds have been quite confident at home in the Premier League recently, winning five out of the previous six matches, scoring 19 goals in the process and conceding seven in return.

Mohamed Salah is the team’s top scorer with 32 goals in 40 appearance, and now with Harry Kane’s out due to an injury, the Egyptian has a perfect opportunity to secure the EPL top goal-scorer title, so he is definitely player to watch on this one. Roberto Firmino is following him with 22 goals, while Sadio Mane added 14 goals to his name at the moment. Firmino is the most creative individual at Anfield with 13 assists; Salah has 11, James Milner recorded nine dishes, while Mane contributed with seven assists. Jurgen Klopp is only without the right-back Nathaniel Clyne who is still recovering from a back injury, while the rest of the squad is healthy and at the German’s disposal.

WATFORD

The Hornets were in a good run of two home wins over Everton and West Brom in which they kept the clean sheet, but they lost to Arsenal at Emirates, 3-0, in the latest Premier League match. Watford certainly didn’t deserve to lose big, but the captain Troy Deeney missed a penalty in the second half and failed to cut the Gunners’ lead to one, and the hosts then sealed the victory. Javi Gracia’s side is in the 10th position with 36 points, nine ahead of the relegation zone, so they are safe in the middle at the moment.

Watford played 33 games in this campaign, recording 11 victories, six draws, and 16 losses, with a goal difference of 44:54, which is 2.96 goals per contest on average. The Hornets are in a disastrous form on the road recently as they lost eight out of the previous nine away matches, scoring miserable two goals and allowing 15 in return.

Abdoulaye Doucoure is the team’s leading scorer with seven goals in 31 appearances; Troy Deeney is right behind him on a goal-scoring chart with six, Richarlison added five, while Andre Gray chipped in with four goals so far. Richarlison in the best assist-maker with five dishes, while a contingent of players recorded three assists including Gray, Doucoure, Tom Cleverley and Will Hughes. Javi Gracia cannot count on Gerard Deloufeu (foot), Nathaniel Chalobah (knee), Younes Kaboul (metatarsal fracture), and Tommie Hoban (cruciate ligament rupture).

Liverpool vs. Watford – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Liverpool scored 19 goals in the last six home matches in the Premier League
  • Liverpool won five and drew one in the previous six EPL games at Anfield
  • Watford failed to score in the last five road matches
  • Watford lost seven out of the previous eight away games in the Premier League

Liverpool won eight out of the previous ten H2H duels including the corresponding fixture last season when they thrashed Watford 6-1 at Anfield. The Reds are looking for payback after Miguel Britos’ last-gasp equalizer at Vicarage Road stole the win from them, and considering Watford’s recent form on the road, I believe the host will destroy the Hornets on Saturday.

MY PICK: Liverpool AH -2 (-119)