La Liga Match of the Day Round 32 – Sevilla vs. Betis (4/13/19)

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The gap between the teams is six points and that could be cut to half if the visitors manage to get a win but Los Rojiblancos are the favorites in this one. The game between Sevilla and Betis will take place at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on April 13th, 2019.

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Sevilla vs. Betis 

Three-Way: 1: Sevilla -152; X: +300 Draw; 2: Betis +400 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1: Sevilla: +118; Betis -143

Total 3 goals: Over -109; Under -112

SEVILLA

Spring of hope has seen Sevilla win four of their last five La Liga (LL) games (W4, L1), with all victories in that sequence seeing Joaquín Caparrós’ men win the second half, and do so with a clean sheet (while winning to-nil overall) in their last three victories.

Their victory at Valladolid on Apr 7 was also Sevilla’s fourth LL match in succession to be settled to-nil either way, while additionally harboring two of Sevilla’s last three LL goals, all of which have arrived beyond the 75th minute. In terms of home LL form alone, Sevilla has also scored 4+ consecutive match goals in two of their last three league wins here.

Los Rojiblancos struggled to break Valladolid’s resistance in the latest match but Roque Mesa in the 84th minute and Munir El Haddadi in injury time gave Sevilla much-needed three points.

Joaquin Caparros will be without Nolito who is still recovering from a broken leg, while Tomas Vaclik (abdominal strain) and Maximilian Wober (knee) are listed as questionable to face Betis.

Betting Trends:

  • Each of the last three top-flight Seville derbies at Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium has seen one team win after a drawn first half
  • Sevilla conceded first in four of their last five H2H games against Betis

BETIS

Where Real Betis is concerned, fine margins have been the order of the day since the beginning of March, with five of the visitors’ last six LL matches being settled by a one-goal margin or ending level. Within that sequence, the last three games have seen the first two match goals shared equally.

Relevantly, each of Betis’ last three away league games (W1, D1, L1) have seen a margin of under 1.5 goals separate the teams. Each has seen the last match goal arrive in the final 15 minutes of play, with the last two seeing the hosts go in 1-0 up at the break, only to concede a second-half equalizer.

Los Verdiblancos snapped the three-game winless streak with a 2-1 home victory over Villarreal thanks to Giovani Lo Celso who bagged a brace, while Ramiro Funes Mori scored the only goal for the visitors in the 13th minute.

Quique Setien doesn’t have any new injury-related issues as only Sergio Canales (ankle) and Francis Guerrero (ankle) are listed as doubtful to feature on Saturday.

Betting Trends:

  • Betis’ status as outsiders is somewhat justified, with Los Verdiblancos conceding first in five of their last seven games
  • Betis failed to score in just one of the last ten matches in all competitions

Sevilla won six out of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L2) but is winless in the last three, while Los Rojiblancos were victorious in three of the past four meetings at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Betis beat Sevilla 1-0 in reverse fixture this season while they secured a 5-3 victory at this venue last year, so we’re going to see another interesting tilt, that’s for sure. Even though the rivals didn’t draw in the last ten meetings at Sánchez Pizjuán, I am going with a draw in this one as I cannot separate them at the moment.

MY PICK: Draw (+300)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Three of the last four H2H duels produced goals on both ends and three or more goals in total and although the previous tilt produced just one goal, which was scored by Betis, I am backing over 2.5 goals and BTTS here.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 and BTTS (-110)

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