Kansas at Iowa State College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19

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The Kansas Jayhawks (+25) will meet their in-conference nemesis Iowa State Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 12:00 p.m. ET and FSN will televise the action.

Kansas at Iowa State Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Iowa State is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 25 points to Kansas. The over/under has been set at 58.5 points, and there will probably be some good in-game betting opportunities for this matchup.

The betting odds have swayed a little from where they first opened. The opening line was -23 and the game’s over/under was initially placed at 59.

The Jayhawks are 3-7 straight up (SU), including 1-6 SU against conference opponents. The Cyclones are 6-4 SU overall and are also 4-3 SU in conference play. The Jayhawks are 4-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.8 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-5.

The Cyclones are down 2.9 units this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Jayhawks dropped one to Oklahoma State 31-13 in a blowout where the Jayhawks completed 26-of-46 passes for 251 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Carter Stanley went 22-for-37 for 226 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Manny Miles completed four-of-eight for 25 yards and one interception. Pooka Williams Jr. (26 rushing yards on 12 attempts) mounted the running attack in the loss. Stephon Robinson Jr. (six receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Kwamie Lassiter II (five catches, 35 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Iowa State is coming off of a 23-21 win over Texas. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Longhorns to air it out for 273 yards and three touchdowns. Devin Duvernay was a bright spot in the loss for Texas, accounting for 107 yards on nine catches. For Iowa State, Brock Purdy completed 30-of-48 passes for 354 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Breece Hall (101 rushing yards on 24 attempts) handled the ground attack in the win while La’Michael Pettway (eight receptions, 100 yards) and Deshaunte Jones (seven catches, 144 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Kansas has run the ball on 50.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Iowa State has a rush percentage of 46.2 percent. The Jayhawks have run for 142 yards per game (including 117 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 10 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Cyclones are putting up 152 rush yards per contest (139 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Cyclones should own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Jayhawks have rushed for 4.5 yards per carry while allowing 5.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Jayhawks have averaged 233 yards through the air overall (249 per game versus conference opposition) and have 21 passing scores so far. The Cyclones have produced 326 pass yards per outing (316.3 against Big 12 foes) and have 24 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Kansas has allowed opponents to run for an average of 236 yards and throw for 238 yards per game. Iowa State has allowed 121.0 yards per game on the ground and 235.5 to opponents in the air. The Cyclones are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.21 to opposing QBs, while the Jayhawks have given up a 7.62 ANY/A.

Stanley has amassed 2,126 passing yards this season, and has completed 177-of-278 attempts with 21 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Stanley’s got a 7.48 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.20 over the past two games.

Brock Purdy has put up 2,921 yards, 17 TDs and eight INTs for Iowa State. His ANY/A stands at 7.94 for the year and 9.23 over his last two games.

When these two teams met a year ago, Iowa State won easily 27-3.

Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State Cyclones NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Iowa State, ATS Winner – Kansas, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Iowa State defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 23 times this year. Kansas has recorded just 16 sacks.

Iowa State has lost five fumbles in 2019 while Kansas has let four get away.

The Jayhawks offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cyclones have put up 10 such plays.

The Kansas defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Iowa State has given up six such plays.

The Kansas offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Iowa State has created 12 such runs.

The Jayhawks defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cyclones have given up nine such runs.

The O/U for Iowa State’s previous matchup going into it was 65. The under cashed in the team’s 23-21 win over Texas.

In its last three contests, Iowa State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

In its last three matches, Kansas is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Kansas has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a three-point win over Texas Tech on October 26th accounting for the only victory over that span.

The Over/Under for Kansas’ previous game was set at 69.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-13 defeat to Oklahoma State.

Kansas has averaged 2.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.0 over its last two.

Iowa State has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.5 over its past two.

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