The Gamecocks and Bearkats are set to face off at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bearkats will host the game at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum in Huntsville, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 135 points, and Sam Houston State is favored by -6.5 to win at home against Jacksonville State.

JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS VS SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +6.5

This game will be played at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum at 3:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-71 in favor of the Bearkats.
  • Even though we have Sam Houston State winning straight-up, we like Jacksonville State at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Does Jacksonville State Have A Chance at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum?

With a record of 14-16, Jacksonville State has lost two in a row and is 6-9 in Conference USA action. The Gamecocks have gone 8-7 in non-conference games compared to 6-9 in conference matchups. On the road, they are 5-9 compared to 7-7 at home.

For the season, Jacksonville State has been the underdog 14 times, going 4-10 in those games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -0.4 points per game, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games. Most recently, they lost to New Mexico State by a score of 66-64.

As the underdog, Jacksonville State has gone 7-6-1 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Gamecocks are 5-4-1 vs. the spread. On the road, Jacksonville State has an ATS record of 8-5-1 this year and they are 6-3-1 vs. the spread over their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 135 is the same as the average over/under line in Jacksonville State’s games this season. So far, their over/under record is 12-16. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

In contrast to their season average of 70 points per game, the Jacksonville State had a below average performance. They scored 64 points against New Mexico State and had a field goal percentage of 38.9%. One area that the Jacksonville State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 116th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

Jacksonville State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 24th nationally, with 65.6 points allowed per game. In today’s game vs. Sam Houston State, the Jacksonville State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Jacksonville State made 17 free-throws vs. the Gamecocks.

Can the Bearkats Lock in a Home Win?

Sam Houston State has been a much better team at home this season, going 10-2 compared to 8-9 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bearkats have gone 9-1.

Overall, Sam Houston State has won six straight games and has a record of 19-11 this season. They are 13-3 when favored, and they come into this game as 6.5-point favorites.

At home this season, Sam Houston State has an ATS mark of 7-5 and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. As the favorite, the Bearkats have an ATS record of 10-6 this year and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sam Houston State games is 17-12. Today’s over/under line of 135 is lower than the average over/under line of 140.6 in their games. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 133 points compared to their season average of 141.6 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Bearkats’ offense tallied 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72 points per game. Davon Barnes is leading the team in scoring at 13.8 points per contest. Lamar Wilkerson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.9 going into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Sam Houston State defense is giving up an average of 69.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Sam Houston State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.0% this season.