Juventus vs. Inter (3/8/20) – Italian Serie A Betting Odds, Pick & Tip

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Juventus is two points behind the league leaders, Lazio, with a game in hand, while Inter is six points behind the Old Lady, and this is a mustn’t-lose game for the Nerazzurri. Antonio Conte’s side is doing well in the Europa League, but their Serie A title hopes could squash with a loss in Turin. The match between Juventus and Inter will take place at Allianz Stadium on March 8th, 2020. However, due to a coronavirus spreading in Italy, particularly in the north of the country, the game will be played without spectators.

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Juventus vs. Inter

Three-Way: 1: Juventus +131; X: +240 Draw; 2: Inter +244 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -0.5: Juventus +123; Inter -130

Total 2.5 goals: Over +108; Under -115

JUVENTUS

Near-unstoppable on Turin turf, Juventus won 34 of the last 36 points available at home (W11, D1), netting in both halves in nine (75%) of those dozen matches. It should, however, be noted that they have led at half-time in just 50% of their home league games.

Each of Juventus’ last four league wins have seen them win the first half 1-0, while their recent three Serie A defeats all contained over 2.5 total goals, of which 80% came beyond the hour mark. In turn, each defeat saw Juventus concede exactly twice between 61’ and FT.

Maurizio Sarri will be without Merih Demiral (knee) while the rest of the players are healthy and at the coach’s disposal.

Betting Trends:

  • Juventus goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny owns a clean-sheet return of 38.89% in Serie A
  • Three of the last four league H2Hs at Juventus have produced a goalless first half
  • Four of Juventus’ last five individual halves of H2H league football vs. Inter have produced precisely one goal

INTER

Inter Milan travels as losers in just one of their last 17 league games overall (W10, D6, L1). Impressively, five of their last six SA wins yielded a 2+ goal margin and saw them win the second half to-nil.

Inter hopes to end a run of Serie A H2H visits without a goal at four (D1, L3). Furthermore, they are without a first-half goal in nine SA away H2Hs, though 14 of the last 16 league H2Hs played anywhere have witnessed under 1.5 first-half goals in any case.

Antonio Conte cannot count on Roberto Gagliardini (foot), Victor Moses (hip), and Stefano Sensi (foot).

Betting Trends:

  • Five of Inter’s last seven competitive away wins have seen Romelu Lukaku net beyond the hour mark.
  • Of the seven goals Lukaku scored across those five particular wins, three (42.86%) came from the penalty spot
  • Inter managed to avoid conceding in the 61st-75th minute period across their last five Serie A away wins
  • Inter scored exactly twice beyond the hour mark without reply in three of their last four league victories

Juventus won six of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L2), including three of the last four (D1), while the Old Lady was victorious in four of the past five meetings at Allianz Stadium (D1). Juve is on a six-game winning streak at home and allowed just two goals in the process, while Inter is without a league win at this venue since 2012. Sarri’s team is preparing for the Champions League second-leg against Lyon, but they have enough fuel in the tank to beat Inter here. Still, given this match will be played without spectators, I believe Inter has a chance to get a positive result and stay alive in the title race. I am going with a draw.

MY PICK: Draw (+240)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Even though none of the previous five H2H duels at Allianz Stadium produced goals on both sides, I am going with BTTS here. It’s hard to expect a goalless game, while I also don’t believe Inter will be without an answer in the attack with both Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez raring to go. I am going with BTTS.

MY PICK: BTTS YES (-125)

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