Italian Serie A Match of the Day Round 5 – Sampdoria vs. Inter (9/22/18)


After missing out on the chance to make it three Serie A wins in a row for the first time since November 2017, Sampdoria will look to get back to winning ways when they host an erratic Inter Milan this weekend. The game between Sampdoria and Inter will take place at the Luigi Ferraris on September 22th, 2018.


Three-Way: 1: Sampdoria +300; X: +270 Draw; 2: Inter -120 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +0.5: Sampdoria -101; Inter -110

Total 3 goals: Over -125; Under +100


The hosts are unbeaten in three Serie A matches (W2, D1), scoring nine goals and conceding just one. However, their overall form has been indifferent with five defeats in ten Serie A games (W4, D1, L5). Thankfully their home record is a lot better, with just one loss in five league games (W3, D1, L1). Indeed, Sampdoria lost just twice in their last ten home league games (W5, D3, L2) with four clean sheets.

Sampdoria destroyed Frosinone 5-0 before they hosted Fiorentina and salvaged a 1-1 draw in the second half, in a tilt they struggled to get the things going offensively. Still, Gianluca Caprari canceled Fiorentina’s lead in the 60th minute as he converted Edgar Barreto’s assist to set the final score, 1-1, following Giovanni Simeone’s opener in the 13th minute.

Betting Trends:

  • There has been a clean sheet in eight of Sampdoria’s last ten Serie A matches
  • Sampdoria scored in five out of their last six games at home


The visitors continue to frustrate, with inconsistent displays and just one win in four Serie A games (W1, D1, L2). A come-from-behind 2-1 Champions League win over Tottenham during midweek should be a boost, but they haven’t won two games in succession over the last nine matches in all competitions (W4, D1, L4). Yet away from home in Serie A, Inter has been impressive with just one loss in five trips (W4, L1) keeping two clean sheets. To go with that, they have won on four of their last seven Serie A visits to Stadio Luigi Ferraris (W4, D1, L2).

Inter trailed at halftime when they welcomed Tottenham in the Champions League but Mauro Icardi in the 86th and Matias Vecino in the second minute of injury time helped Luciano Spalletti’s side to earn a 2-1 victory and three points.

Betting Trends:

  • Inter hasn’t lost two Serie A games in a row for 24 games, going back to December 2017
  • Inter didn’t keep the clean sheet in eight of the last ten Serie A matches

Inter won nine out of the previous 14 H2H encounters including the last two, while they were victorious in four out of the past seven meetings at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Inter destroyed Sampdoria 5-0 last time they met in Genoa, but I don’t think the visitors will be that lethal on this one, so I am backing a draw.

MY PICK: Draw (+270)

ADDITIONAL PICK: There has been a clean sheet in seven of the last eight Serie A H2H games between these sides at this venue, but four of the previous six H2H duels produced goals on both ends, and I am backing the rivals to score at least one on each side here.

MY PICK: Both teams to score YES (-137)


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