Inter vs. Napoli – Match of the Day (Round 28)

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The duel between Inter and Napoli is surely the most intriguing match of this round, considering the team’s respective positions in the standings. Inter is fighting for the Champions League spot next season, while Napoli is shoulder to shoulder with Juventus in their battle for the Serie A title, so there is no doubt we will get plenty of excitement. The game will take place at Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday, March 11th.

Inter vs. Napoli

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Three-Way: 1: Inter +279; X: +239 Draw; 2: Napoli +104 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +0.5: Inter -116; Napoli +106

Total 2.5 goals: Over +100; Under -125

INTER

The Black and Blues were in a quite bad form in 2018, but they managed to win two out of the previous three matches in Serie A, and are still in contention for the Champions League next campaign. Inter beat Bologna at home 2-1, but suffered a 2-0 defeat at Genoa; however, they responded well against Benevento and secured a 2-0 win thanks to the goals from the defensive due Andrea Ranocchia ad Milan Skriniar. Luciano Spalletti’s side is currently in the 5th position with 51 points, only two behind Roma who is sitting in the 3rd place, and one behind Lazio.

Inter played 28 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 15 victories, nine draws, and four losses, with a goal difference of 43:22, which is 2.32 goals per contest on average. The Black and Blues are unbeaten in the previous five matches at home, winning the last two with three draws, scoring six goals in the process and conceding three in return.

Mauro Icardi is the team’s top scorer with 18 goals in 24 appearances, while Ivan Perisic is the second on a goal-scoring chart with seven goals to his name. Antonio Candreva is the most creative individual at Giuseppe Meazza with eight assists; Perisic added six dishes, while Marcelo Brozovic has four assists at the moment. Luciano Spalletti is delighted to have all of the payers at his disposal as no new injuries occurred and they are healthy and fit to face Napoli.

NAPOLI

The Little Donkeys bounced back from the Europa League elimination and defeat to Leipzig with a comfortable 5-0 victory over Cagliari on the road. However, Napoli was well-beaten at home against Roma as the visitors cruised to the 4-2 win at San Paolo, despite Lorenzo Insigne’s early goal that gave a 1-0 lead to Napoli. Cengiz Under equalized only a minute later before Edin Dzeko scored a brace along with Diego Perotti’s strike for a huge 4-1 lead to Roma. Dries Mertens only managed to soften the loss with a goal in the 92nd minute, but that was a little consolation for Napoli’s fans. Maurizio Sarri’s side is still in the top spot in Serie A with 69 points, a point ahead of Juventus, but the Old Lady has a game in hand and that could be vital prior to the final day of the season.

Napoli played 39 games in this campaign, recording 27 victories, three draws, and nine losses, with a goal difference of 82:35, which is precisely three goals per contest on average. The Little Donkeys have been in a great away form lately as they won the previous six matches on the road, scoring 14 goals in the process and allowing just one in return.

Dries Mertens is the team’s leading scorer with 21 goals in 38 appearances; Lorenzo Insigne has 13 goals to his name, while Jose Callejon contributed with ten goals so far. Mertens is also the top assist maker with 12 dishes; Insigne added 11 assists, while Callejon recorded ten passes that directly lead to goals. Maurizio Sarri will be without Faouzi Ghoulam who is sidelined with a damaged kneecap, while Vlad Chiriches is doubtful with a knee injury and could return to the pitch on this one.

Inter vs. Napoli – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Inter won just two out of the previous 11 matches in total
  • Inter scored in all but one game at home this season
  • Napoli won the last six matches on the road
  • Napoli scored 14 goals in the previous six away games
  • Napoli allowed only one goal in the last six road matches

Napoli won five out of the previous ten H2H encounters, while Inter recorded a pair of wins, but the Little Donkeys have two wins out of the last three and they kept the clean sheet in all three duels. Their defense has been rock solid on the road recently, but I do believe Inter can penetrate through it and bag at least one behind Pepe Reina’s back. The latest H2H clash ended scoreless, while Napoli won the responding fixture earlier in the season; it was 1-0 at Giuseppe Meazza. Inter cannot afford to calculate here and the same situation is with the visitors, so I expect goals on both sides.

MY PICK: Both teams to score YES (-120)