The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-24) will be at home in the Target Center when they meet the Indiana Pacers (25-15). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Preview
The Pacers defeated the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 101-95, covering as 3.5-point favorites. Malcolm Brogdon led Indiana in scoring with 21 points on 5-for-15 shooting. Indiana played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.291 (above their season average of 0.171) and a turnover percentage of 8.3 (better than their season average of 11.3). Philadelphia was 0.169 and 10.2, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 196 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 214.5.
In the Timberwolves’ last matchup, they were topped by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 117-104, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. With 18 points, Robert Covington had a solid game for Minnesota. Oklahoma City did a great job of making free throws (23-26; 88.5 percent). Minnesota, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 13.8). The two teams collectively scored 221 points, which finished just over the projected point total of 218.
This is the first time these teams will meet this year, after splitting two games last season. The Pacers won the most recent matchup 122-115. The Pacers dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.1 and a superb free throw rate of 0.310. The Timberwolves recorded marks of 12.6 and 0.258, respectively, for those same stats.
Of Indiana’s 40 games, 20 have finished over the O/U total, while 21 of Minnesota’s 39 games have finished over the projected point total. The Pacers come into this game with considerably better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 25-15 SU and 21-17-2 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 15-24 SU and 16-21-2 ATS.
It will be a battle of contrasting paces as the up-tempo Timberwolves will look to push the more half-court-oriented Pacers. The Timberwolves rank first in possessions per game while the Pacers are 25th.
Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
The Timberwolves rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.1) while the Pacers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
Minnesota averages 48.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Indiana ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.3).
Indiana ranks 13th in blocked shots (5.1 per game) while Minnesota ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Indiana ranks 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while Minnesota ranks 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
Indiana is 10-9 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 5-12-1 ATS at home.
The Pacers have 10 overs and 9 unders in 19 road games.
The Timberwolves have 9 overs and 9 unders in 18 home games.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Indiana is 7-1 and Minnesota is 2-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Timberwolves are 14-18 and the Pacers are 25-9.
The Pacers rank 16th in fast break points per game (12.7) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (10.3).
Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.3) while Indiana ranks last (27.7).
The Timberwolves rank second in steals per game (8.7) while the Pacers rank 24th (6.9).
The Pacers average 25.9 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
Indiana ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while Minnesota ranks 29th (48.6).
Minnesota is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 110.2 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (2.1 above their season average).