The Golden State Warriors (10-36) will be at home in the Chase Center when they challenge the Indiana Pacers (29-16). Action gets underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors Odds Preview
The Pacers won big over the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 112-87, easily covering as 1.5-point favorites. With 24 points and 13 rebounds, Indiana’s Domantas Sabonis played well. The Pacers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.528, had a superb mark of 0.589 and had a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 11.3). The two teams combined to score 199 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 221.5.
In the Warriors’ previous game, they were blown out by the Utah Jazz, 129-96, and were unable to cover as 9-point underdogs. D’Angelo Russell was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 10-for-21 shooting. Utah had an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.6 (above their season average of 20.8). Golden State, on the other hand, did a terrific job of making free throws (20-24; 83.3 percent). The two teams collectively scored 225 points, which was over the projected point total of 220.5.
The offense of Golden State (29th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 102.3) will square off against the top-notch defense of Indiana (ninth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 105.1). The Pacers should have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Pacers rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Warriors rank fifth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.5 percent).
Of Indiana’s 45 games, 23 have finished under the O/U total, while 26 of Golden State’s 46 games have finished under the projected point total. The Pacers hold a clear advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 29-16 SU and 24-19-2 ATS, while the Warriors are 10-36 SU and 21-24-1 ATS.
This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year, after the Warriors won both meetings last season. In the last game, Golden State won 112-89. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.567 vs. 0.418). Indiana, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (13-17; 76.5 percent).
Pacers vs. Warriors ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
The Pacers rank 11th in points in the paint per game (48.4) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.0).
Golden State ranks 19th in second chance points per game (12.6) while Indiana ranks 26th (11.8).
Indiana ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (47.5).
On the road, Indiana is 13-10 ATS with 12 unders and 11 overs.
Golden State is 10-12-1 ATS at home with 14 unders and 9 overs.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Golden State is 5-2 and Indiana is 9-1.
The Pacers are 29-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 10-22.
The Pacers average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Golden State ranks 25th (25.3).
The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Warriors rank 20th (8.1).
The Pacers rank 17th in fast break points per game (12.4) while the Warriors rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
Indiana ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (32.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (35.3).
Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).