Central Division foes will clash when the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-42) clash with the Indiana Pacers (35-24) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Preview
In the Pacers’ last outing, they were victorious over the Portland Trail Blazers, 106-100, but failed to cover as 10-point favorites. Domantas Sabonis was Indiana’s leading scorer with 20 points on 8-for-15 shooting. Indiana dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.200 (above their season average of 0.170) and a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 11.3). Portland was 0.101 and 12.8, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 206 points, which was under the projected point total of 218.
The Cavaliers are hoping to rebound after being unable to cover as 7.5-point favorites in their 116-104 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans in their last contest. Collin Sexton was the top scorer from either team with 31 points on 11-for-20 shooting. New Orleans did a terrific job of making free throws (11-15; 73.3 percent). Cleveland, meanwhile, forced the Pelicans into a turnover percentage of 14.5 (above the 11.1 mark opponents have averaged against Cleveland this season). The two teams collectively scored 220 points, which came in over the projected point total of 216.5.
Cleveland might have difficulty finding the bottom of the net as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Cavaliers rank 25th in offensive efficiency. Additionally, the Pacers rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Cavaliers rank 25th in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.3 percent).
Of Indiana’s 59 games, 30 have finished over the O/U total, while 31 of Cleveland’s 58 games have finished over the O/U total. The Pacers hold a clear advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 35-24 SU and 30-27-2 ATS, while the Cavaliers are 17-42 SU and 26-30-2 ATS.
These two teams have already met twice this season, each winning once. In the most recent game, Sabonis had 18 points and 17 rebounds and the Pacers defeated the Cavaliers 102-95, resulting in a push. The two teams combined to score 197 points, which was 18 points below the projected point total of 215 points. The Pacers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.6 and a turnover percentage of 11.0. The Cavaliers recorded marks of 6.3 and 14.0, respectively, for those same stats.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under
The Pacers rank eighth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (6.4).
Indiana ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.8) while Cleveland ranks 28th (10.2).
Indiana ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while Cleveland ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.9).
Cleveland ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while Indiana ranks 12th (44.9).
Cleveland is 12-18-1 ATS at home, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS on the road.
In 28 road games, the Pacers have 14 overs and 14 unders.
In 31 home games, the Cavaliers have 16 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Cleveland is 5-3 and Indiana is 11-2.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Cavaliers are 16-29 and the Pacers are 35-15.
The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Pacers rank 28th (11.7).
Indiana ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Cleveland ranks last (9.4).
The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Cavaliers rank last (20.2).
The Cavaliers rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Pacers rank last (27.7).
Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Cleveland ranks 29th (26.3).
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 8.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average).