Houston vs. UCF College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19


In a battle featuring two schools that like to run the football, Head Coach Dana Holgorsen and the Houston Cougars (+23) are set to face off against their conference foe Ucf Knights at Spectrum Stadium. ESPN2 will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.

Houston vs. UCF Betting Odds 11/2/2019

Houston is a big road underdog here and is currently getting 23 points from bookmakers. If the Knights fall behind early it will result in a decent in-game betting opportunity. The over/under is set at 69 points.

The line has recently moved down from -22 to where it is now (-23). The game’s total has yet to move after it was initially set at 69.

The Cougars are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against conference opponents. The Knights are 6-2 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play. The Cougars are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.5 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 3-4-1.

The Knights are down 2.8 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-3.

The Cougars lost to SMU 34-31 in a game where the passing game the primary culprit as Clayton Tune completed only 18-of-35 passes for 407 yards, two scores and one interception. Mulbah Car (136 rushing yards on 18 attempts) led the running attack. Marquez Stevenson (five receptions, 211 yards, two TDs) and Jeremy Singleton (four catches, 54 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

UCF is coming off of a 63-21 win over Temple. Dillon Gabriel completed 10-of-21 passes for 218 yards and three touchdowns. Otis Anderson (205 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Bentavious Thompson (87 yards on 10 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the running game as Gabriel Davis (three receptions, 83 yards) and Marlon Williams (three catches, 81 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Houston has run the ball on 59.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCF has a rush percentage of 56.9 percent. The Cougars have run for 207 yards per game (including 176 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Knights are averaging 234 rushing yards per contest (235 in conference) and have 22 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Knights should own the edge in the trenches, since their offensive line has yielded just 16 sacks while the D-line has logged 19 sacks. The Cougars O-line has allowed 25 sacks and their defense has logged only 14 sacks.

The Cougars have averaged 201 yards in the air overall (262 per game versus conference opposition) and have 13 passing scores so far. The Knights have put up 328 pass yards per outing (329.3 in the AAC) and have 26 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Houston has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 175 yards and throw for 288 yards per game. UCF has been significantly better than that, giving up 125.6 yards per game on the ground and 213.6 to opposing teams in the air. The Knights are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.38 to opponents, while the Cougars have given up a 7.78 ANY/A.

Tune is up to 715 pass yards this season. He’s completed 43-of-82 attempts with five passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Tune’s got a 6.22 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.36 over the past two games.

Marquez Stevenson, Jeremy Singleton and Kyle Porter have combined to account for 534 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

Dillon Gabriel has put up 1,853 yards, 18 TDs and five INTs for UCF. His ANY/A stands at 9.63 for the season and 11.32 across his past two outings.

Otis Anderson (433 rushing yards, three rush TDs, one receiving touchdown this season), Gabriel Davis (752 receiving yards, eight receiving TDs) and Marlon Williams (278 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) have combined to account for 709 total yards and four touchdowns the last two games.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.

Houston Cougars at UCF Knights Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – UCF, ATS Winner – Houston, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The UCF defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 19 times this year. Houston has registered 14 sacks.

The UCF offense has lost five fumbles in 2019 while the Houston offense has let six get away.

The Cougars offense has registered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Knights have put up 14 such plays.

The Houston defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while UCF has given up one such play.

The Houston offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UCF has created 21 such runs.

The Cougars defense has allowed 16 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Knights have given up nine such runs.

Houston has rushed for 3.6 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 2.8 over its last two.

UCF has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.1 over its past two.


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