The Utah Jazz (36-19) will be at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they clash against the Houston Rockets (35-20). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 235 points with Utah opening as a 2-point favorite. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020.
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz Odds Preview
The last time the Rockets played, they easily got past the Golden State Warriors, 135-105, easily covering as 10-point favorites. James Harden was the game’s high scorer with 29 points on 6-for-16 shooting. Houston dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.235 (above their season average of 0.229) and a turnover percentage of 13.7 (worse than their season average of 12.0). Golden State was 0.111 and 18.1, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 240 points, which finished over the O/U total of 232.5.
The Jazz are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 5-point favorites in their 113-104 loss to the San Antonio Spurs in their last matchup. With 18 points and 14 rebounds, Rudy Gobert played well for Utah. San Antonio had a turnover percentage of 5.5 (better than their season average of 10.8). Utah, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (22-26; 84.6 percent). The two clubs combined to score 217 points, which came in just over the O/U total of 216.5.
The sharp-shooting offense of Utah (third in the league with an effective field goal percentage 0.551) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Houston (17th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.529). The Jazz figure to have the edge on that end of the court. It will also be a tale of two paces as the fast-paced Rockets rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Jazz rank 26th.
Of Houston’s 55 games, 31 have finished under the O/U total, while 29 of Utah’s 54 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Rockets are 35-20 SU and 28-27 ATS, while the Jazz are 36-19 SU and 27-25-2 ATS.
These two teams have met twice already this season, each winning once. Clarkson recorded 30 points and six rebounds in the most recent matchup, in which the Jazz, who were 3-point underdogs, beat the Rockets 114-113. The two teams combined to put up 227 points, which was 6 points below the projected point total of 233 points. The Jazz dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.174 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6. The Rockets recorded marks of 0.105 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats.
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz Odds Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while the Rockets rank 25th (35.3).
Houston ranks eighth in fast break points per game (14.5) while Utah ranks 25th (10.8).
Utah ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while Houston ranks 25th (46.7).
Utah averages 47.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Houston ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
Houston is 14-14 ATS on the road, while Utah is 13-11-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 17 of the Rockets’ 28 road games, while 14 of the Jazz’s 25 home games have gone over.
Houston is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Utah is 12-2.
The Jazz are 35-13 when they reach the century mark, while the Rockets are 35-17.
The Jazz rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while the Rockets rank 24th (13.8).
Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.7) while Houston ranks 26th (25.7).
The Rockets rank seventh in steals per game (8.3) while the Jazz rank last (5.8).
The Rockets rank 13th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Jazz rank 29th (3.9).
Houston ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Utah ranks 28th (14.2).
Utah is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 3.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (1.9 below their season average).