Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Preview 01/14/20


The Memphis Grizzlies (18-22) welcome the Houston Rockets (26-12) to FedExForum. The Grizzlies will attempt to extend their five-game winning streak. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 238 points with Houston opening as a 4.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020, and it can be seen on NBATV.

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Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

In the Rockets’ last contest, they easily got past the Minnesota Timberwolves, 139-109, easily covering as 11-point favorites. With 30 points, 10 assists and six rebounds, Houston’s Russell Westbrook played well. The Rockets had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.611 (above their season average of 0.538) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.9 (above their season average of 24.0). The two teams combined to put up 248 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 232.

The Grizzlies hope to keep it rolling after comfortably covering the 6.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 122-102. With 31 points on 13-for-17 shooting, Jonas Valanciunas led Memphis in scoring. Memphis dominated every facet of the game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 34.0 (above their season average of 22.0) and a turnover percentage of 12.6 (better than their season average of 13.0). Golden State was 22.2 and 17.9, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads combined to record 224 points, which finished just under the projected point total of 225.5.

The elite offense of Memphis (seventh in the league with an effective field goal percentage 0.534) will clash against the mid-tier defense of Houston (17th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.522). The Grizzlies should have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Rockets, who rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.230), will square off against the Grizzlies, who rank 27th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.224).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games including Houston have finished under 55.3 percent of the time, while Memphis games have gone over 55.0 percent of the time. The Rockets have the better straight up (SU) record (26-12 vs. 18-22), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Houston is 20-18 ATS, while Memphis is 21-18-1 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 207 points, well under the projected point total of 230.5. The Rockets won 107-100, covering as 6-point favorites. The Rockets played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.215 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.468. For those same stats, the Grizzlies were 0.181 and 0.441, respectively. James Harden recorded a double-double with 44 points and 10 rebounds.

Rockets at Grizzlies ATS Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Rockets rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while the Grizzlies rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.4).

Houston ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Memphis ranks 14th (45.6).

Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (44.2) while Memphis ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).

Houston ranks 15th in blocks per game (4.9) while Memphis ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).

On the road, Houston is 10-10 ATS with 13 unders and 7 overs.

At home, Memphis is 12-10 ATS with 14 overs and 8 unders.

Houston is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Memphis is 1-0.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Rockets are 26-10 and the Grizzlies are 18-17.

The Rockets rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Grizzlies rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).

Memphis averages 27.9 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Houston ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (25.9).

The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (54.9) while the Rockets rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.6).

The Rockets rank 10th in steals per game (8.0) while the Grizzlies rank 17th in steals allowed per game (7.8).

Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (16.9) while Houston ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.9).

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 5-0 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Houston is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 14.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has been defeated by an average of 2.7 points.

During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.8 points per game (3.9 below their season average).

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