Home NBA Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 02/20/20

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 02/20/20

The Golden State Warriors (12-43) will be at home in the Chase Center when they go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (34-20). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 232.5 points with Houston set as a 10-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 20, 2020.

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Free Preview

In the Rockets’ last contest, they defeated the Boston Celtics, 116-105, comfortably covering as 2-point favorites. With 36 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Russell Westbrook put together a good performance for Houston. Houston dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.481 (above their season average of 0.225) and a turnover percentage of 12.8 (worse than their season average of 12.0). Boston was 0.235 and 15.8, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which came in under the projected point total of 232.

Although the Warriors were topped by the Phoenix Suns in their last contest, 112-106, they were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Andrew Wiggins led Golden State in scoring with 27 points on 9-for-14 shooting. Phoenix held the Warriors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.1 (below their season average of 21.6). Golden State, meanwhile, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (17-19; 89.5 percent). The two clubs combined to record 218 points, which finished under the O/U total of 227.

Houston could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense squares off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Rockets currently rank fourth in offensive efficiency while Golden State ranks 25th in defensive efficiency.

Of Houston’s 54 games, 31 have finished under the projected point total, while 30 of Golden State’s 55 games have finished under the projected point total. The Rockets have the superior straight up (SU) record (34-20 vs. 12-43) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (27-27 vs. 26-28-1).

These two teams have met twice already this year, each winning once. Damion Lee put up 22 points and 15 rebounds in the most recent contest, in which the Warriors, who were 11-point underdogs, defeated the Rockets 116-104. The two teams combined to put up 220 points, which was 10 points below the projected point total of 230 points. Golden State made good use of their 28 trips to the charity stripe, making 25 of them (89.3 percent). Houston, meanwhile, was 14-16 (87.5 percent).

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Warriors rank 12th in assists per game (25.2) while the Rockets rank 29th (21.4).

Houston ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (47.1) while Golden State ranks last (42.8).

Golden State ranks 11th in fast break points per game (13.9) while Houston ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).

Houston averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).

Houston is 13-14 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 11-14-1 ATS at home.

In 27 road games, the Rockets have 17 unders and 10 overs.

The Warriors have 15 unders and 11 overs in 26 home games.

When holding opponents under 100 points, Houston is 3-0 and Golden State is 5-2.

The Warriors are 12-28 when they reach the century mark, while the Rockets are 34-17.

The Rockets average 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Warriors rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).

Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (43.9) while Golden State ranks 24th (30.7).

The Rockets rank eighth in steals per game (8.2) while the Warriors rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.3).

The Rockets rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (12.0).

Houston averages 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 8.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (1.1 below their season average).

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