Houston at North Texas College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19


The Houston Cougars and North Texas Mean Green are set to do battle on the turf of Apogee Stadium. FCBK will broadcast the action and the matchup is scheduled to kick off at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Houston at North Texas Betting Odds 9/28/2019

North Texas is giving up 7 points in this game. The Cougars are currently being given +220 moneyline odds while the Mean Green are -300. This tilt should offer several in-game betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 60.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Mean Green and the under. The line originally opened at 2.5 while the O/U was initially placed at 62.

The Cougars are 1-3 straight up (SU) while the Mean Green are 2-2 SU. The Cougars have lost 2.0 units so far in 2019 and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-3.

The Mean Green have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Cougars are most-recently reeling from a 38-31 defeat to Tulane last week. The Cougars defense allowed the Green Wave to eat up the clock by running for 325 yards on 50 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. On the offensive side of the ball, D’Eriq King completed only 16-of-33 passes for 229 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Patrick Carr (63 yards on 17 rush attempts) and the signal-caller King (116 yards on 17 carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack. Keith Corbin (three receptions, 48 yards, one TD) and Tre’von Bradley (three catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

North Texas just picked up a 45-3 win over UTSA. Mason Fine completed 15-of-22 passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns. Tre Siggers (143 rushing yards on 14 attempts, two TDs) and DeAndre Torrey (62 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the running game while Michael Lawrence (five receptions, 58 yards) and Jaelon Darden (four catches, 27 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.

Houston has run the ball on 60.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while North Texas has an overall rush percentage of 51.5 percent. The Cougars have produced 255 rush yards per game and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Mean Green are putting up 203 rush yards per contest and have five total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Mean Green ought to have an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has yielded just nine sacks while their D-line has logged 13 sacks. The Cougars offensive line has given up 12 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just nine occasions.

The Cougars have averaged 167 yards through the air overall and have six passing TDs so far. The Mean Green have produced 247 pass yards per game and have 11 total pass scores.

Houston has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 206 yards and throw for 302 yards per game. North Texas has been a bit better than that, giving up 177.5 rushing yards per game and 205.5 to opponents in the air. The Mean Green are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.48 to opponents, while the Cougars have given up a whopping 9.27 ANY/A.

King is up to 535 passing yards this year. He’s completed 45-of-86 attempts with five passing touchdowns and two interceptions. King’s got a 5.26 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.69 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Mason Fine has recorded 730 yards, seven TDs and two INTs. Fine’s ANY/A stands at 7.45 for the year and 6.72 over his last two games.

Houston Cougars vs. North Texas Mean Green NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Houston, ATS Winner – Houston, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Cougars offense has created one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Mean Green have accounted for three such plays.

The Houston defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while North Texas has given up two such plays.

The Houston offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while North Texas has created 10 such runs.

The Cougars defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Mean Green have given up seven such runs.

The North Texas defense has notched 13 sacks on the year while Houston has nine.

Houston has rushed for 6.1 yards per attempt over its last three games and 6.4 over its last two.

North Texas has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.5 over its last two.


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