Hawaii vs. UNLV College Football Betting Pick 11/16/19

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In a battle featuring two offenses possessing very different run-pass ratios, the Rebels of UNLV (+7) are gearing up to host their conference rival Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7) at Sam Boyd Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET and you can watch the action live on FCBK.

Hawaii vs. UNLV Betting Odds 11/16/2019

This MWC game’s line is placed at 7 points in favor of Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors are currently being given -300 moneyline odds while the Rebels are +220. The over/under has been set at 71 points, and if one school gets out in front early, it will likely generate a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

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The line opened at 6.5 while the O/U has yet to change after it was set initially at 71.

The Rainbow Warriors are 6-4 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 2-7 SU overall and 0-5 SU in conference play. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-6 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.8 units this season. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-3.

The Rebels are up 0.2 units in 2019. The team is 4-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-6.

The Rainbow Warriors just pulled off a 42-40 win over San Jose State last week. The passing game was on point as Chevan Cordeiro completed 23 passes on 31 attempts for 309 yards and three touchdowns. Miles Reed (124 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Cordeiro (55 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) mounted the ground attack in the win. JoJo Ward (seven receptions, 170 yards, two TDs) and Cedric Byrd II (seven catches, 52 yards) shared the receiving duties.

UNLV most recently fell 37-17 to Colorado State. The defense let the Rams kill the clock by running for 174 yards on 36 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Warren Jackson had a good outing in the win for Colorado State, recording 133 yards on six catches. For UNLV, Kenyon Oblad completed 22-of-39 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Charles Williams (83 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Randal Grimes (seven receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Tyleek Collins (four catches, 18 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Hawaii’s run the ball on 38.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UNLV has a rush percentage of 52.8 percent. The Rainbow Warriors have produced 148 rush yards/game (including 166 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 15 scores via handoffs this year. The Rebels are logging 163 rushing yards per contest (106 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

The Rainbow Warriors have averaged a ridiculous 349 yards in the air overall (347 per game against conference opposition) and have 32 passing TDs so far. The Rebels have produced 214 pass yards per outing (263.4 in the MWC) and have 14 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Hawaii has allowed 205 rush yards and 246 pass yards per game. UNLV has allowed 204.7 rushing yards per game and 222.3 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Rainbow Warriors have given up an ANY/A of 7.12 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels are allowing an ANY/A of 7.37.

Cordeiro probably has the edge over Oblad in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.64for the season (and 10.54 over the last two outings). Oblad’s ANY/A is 5.63 for the year and 6.67 over his past two games.

When these two teams met a year ago, Hawaii knocked off UNLV by a touchdown 35-28.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at UNLV Rebels NCAA Tip

SU Winner – UNLV, ATS Winner – UNLV, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Hawaii defense has 12 sacks on the year while UNLV has 10.

The UNLV offense has lost six fumbles in 2019 while the Hawaii offense has lost 11.

The Rainbow Warriors offense has registered 13 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rebels have put up eight such plays.

The Hawaii defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while UNLV has given up 11 such plays.

Both teams have produced 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Hawaii offense has recorded 53 running plays of 10+ yards while UNLV has accounted for 42 such plays.

The Rainbow Warriors defense has allowed 21 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rebels have given up 17 such runs.

The Over/Under for UNLV’s last outing was set at 63.5. The under cashed in the 37-17 defeat to Colorado State.

Over its last three matchups, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

In its last three games, Hawaii is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

UNLV has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a 24-point win over Vanderbilt on October 12th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.

The O/U for Hawaii’s last game was set at 78.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-40 victory over San Jose State.

Hawaii has averaged 6.6 yards per carry across its past three contests and 6.2 over its last two.

UNLV has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.6 over its past two.

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