The Horizon Conference Tourney contest between the Green Bay Phoenix (17-15, 12-7 Hor) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (21-9, 13-5 Hor) will take place at Indiana Farmers Coliseum. Northern Kentucky is a 5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 151 points. Action gets underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 9, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN2.
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse ATS Preview
The Phoenix beat the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in their last outing, 78-63, comfortably covering as 4-point favorites. Amari Davis was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 8-for-15 shooting. Green Bay played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.6 (better than their season average of 14.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.500 (below their season average of 0.523). For those same stats, Oakland recorded marks of 20.6 and 0.412, respectively. The two teams combined to score 141 points, which was well under the O/U total of 156.
In the Norse’s last matchup, they were 2.5-point favorites and were defeated by the Wright State Raiders, 64-62. Jalen Tate was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points on 8-for-15 shooting. Wright State had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.0 (above their season average of 32.4). Northern Kentucky, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 10.0 (better than their season average of 16.0). The two squads combined to put up 126 points, which was well under the projected point total of 148.
Northern Kentucky appears to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Norse rank 90th in offensive rebounding percentage (31.0 percent), while Green Bay ranks 306th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.1 percent).
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Green Bay games have gone over 60.0 percent of the time, while games including Northern Kentucky have gone under 57.1 percent of the time. The Norse have the superior straight up (SU) record (21-9 vs. 17-15) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (15-12-1 vs. 15-14-1).
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse Free Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Northern Kentucky, ATS Winner – Northern Kentucky, O/U – Under
Northern Kentucky ranks 92nd in assists per game (13.8) while Green Bay ranks 229th in assists allowed per game (14.5).
Northern Kentucky is 6-7 ATS at home, while Green Bay is 11-7 ATS on the road.
Northern Kentucky is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Green Bay is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Norse have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Northern Kentucky has defeated opponents by an average of 6.9 points.
During their last five games, the Phoenix have scored an average of 85.2 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.2 points per game (3.9 below their season average).