Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Week 17 Betting Pick


To conclude the NFL regular season, the Detroit Lions are getting 10 points when they play host to their NFC North foe Green Bay Packers to Ford Field. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Betting Odds 12/29/2019

The spread for this NFC game is placed at 10 points in favor of Green Bay. The Packers are currently being given -475 moneyline odds while the Lions are +325. The over/under has been set at 41.5 points. If one team can find paydirt early, it will likely produce a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

The opening line was 9.5. The game’s total has yet to change since it was set initially at 41.5.

The Packers are 12-3 straight up (SU), including 5-0 SU against NFC North opponents. The Lions are 3-11-1 SU overall and 0-5 SU against divisional foes. The surprising Packers are 9-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 7.3 units this season. They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 6-8.

The Lions have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors in 2019, losing 8.2 units. The team is 6-9 ATS and has an O/U record of 10-5.

Detroit enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Green Bay has lost each of its last zero. The Packers are looking to keep things going following a solid 23-10 win over Minnesota last week. Aaron Rodgers completed 26-of-40 passes for 216 yards and one interception. Aaron Jones (154 yards on 23 rush attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack in the win while Davante Adams (13 receptions, 116 yards) and Allen Lazard (five catches, 45 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Detroit most-recently dropped a 27-17 game to Denver last week. The team’s defense allowed the Broncos to kill the clock by running for 150 yards on 33 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Phillip Lindsay put up a solid outing in the win, recording 109 rushing yards and a score on 19 attempts for Denver. For Detroit, David Blough completed 12-of-24 passes for 117 yards and one touchdown. Kerryon Johnson (42 rushing yards on 10 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Kenny Golladay (six receptions, 66 yards, one TD) and Danny Amendola (two catches, 21 yards) led the receiving corps.

Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Green Bay’s run the ball on 42.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Detroit has a rush percentage of 41.4. The Packers have rushed for 112 yards/game (including 129 per game versus North opponents) and have 18 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Lions are totaling 99 rushing yards per contest (82 in conference) and have six total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Packers may be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded only 53 sacks while the D-line logged 44 sacks. The Lions, on the other hand, have allowed 41 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 43 occasions.

The Packers have logged 246 yards/game in the air overall (223 per game versus conference opposition) and have 24 passing scores so far. The Lions have produced 270 pass yards per outing (276.6 in the NFC) and have 27 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Green Bay appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 117 rush yards and 258 pass yards per game. Detroit has allowed 115.7 rushing yards per game and 294.4 to opponents in the air. The Packers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.80 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.87 ANY/A.

Rodgers is up to 3,476 pass yards this season, and has completed 310-of-481 attempts with 23 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Rodgers has a 6.87 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.75 over the last two outings.

For the home team, David Blough has produced 602 yards, four TDs and three INTs. Blough’s ANY/A sits at a less-than-ideal 4.07 for the season and 3.77 over his past two games.

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Free NFL Tip

SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Packers, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Detroit offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Green Bay has let nine get away.

The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing QBs 40 times this year. Detroit has recorded just 27 sacks.

As a team, Green Bay has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.

Detroit has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its last two.

Over its last three contests, Detroit is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Green Bay’s last game was set at 40.5. The under cashed in the team’s 23-10 victory over Minnesota.

In its last three matchups, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Detroit’s last match going into it was 40. The over cashed in the 27-17 defeat to Denver.

Detroit has lost 12 of its last 13 games SU, with a five-point win over New York on October 27th accounting for its only victory over that stretch.