German Bundesliga Match of the Day Round 5– Dortmund vs. Nurnberg (9/26/18)


It’s been 28 years since Nurnberg last went to Dortmund and came back with all three points, but the Bundesliga new boys will attempt to rectify that here, as they take on an unbeaten Dortmund side (W2, D2) that enjoys scoring at home. The game between Dortmund and Nurnberg will take place at the Signal Iduna Park on September 26th, 2018.


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Three-Way: 1: Dortmund -333; X: +450 Draw; 2: Nurnberg +900 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1.5: Dortmund -103; Nurnberg -101

Total 3 goals: Over -112; Under -105


The hosts have netted seven of eight Bundesliga goals this campaign in their opening two home fixtures, and have now scored three or more goals in four of their last five Bundesliga home games. However, while Dortmund won comfortably against Leipzig (4-1) and Frankfurt (3-1) at the Signal Iduna Park, coach Lucien Favre may have some concern that his team has conceded in four of their last five Bundesliga outings (home and away).

Dortmund returned home after a 1-0 victory over Club Brugge in the opening round of the Champions League and snatched a late point at Hoffenheim, thanks to Christian Pulisic who canceled out Joelinton’s first-half goal to make it 1-1. Borussia is four points behind the reigning champs Bayern Munich, while they are three ahead of Nurnberg.

Betting Trends:

  • Dortmund’s eight league goals this campaign have been scored by eight different players
  • Dortmund was winning at half-time in seven of their last eight Bundesliga home games
  • Dortmund scored seven goals in their previous two home games in Bundesliga


After a decent start to their Bundesliga campaign (W1, D2, L1), the visitors will fancy their chances at ending negative statistic at Dortmund, especially as they’ve failed to score in just one of their last 12 league games. On the road, Nurnberg has hit the net in five of their last six, including their previous Bundesliga away game where they grabbed a 92nd-minute equalizer against Bremen (1-1).

Nurnberg recorded the first victory of the campaign over Hannover thanks to late goals from Torless Knoll and own goal from Waldemar Anton, and now they have the opportunity to enter the top six with three points here. However, that is not going to be easy as Nurnberg never won in Dortmund.

Betting Trends:

  • Nurnberg didn’t score a single goal at Signal Iduna Park since 2006
  • While Nurnberg have conceded just five goals in their last six away league matches, four of those were scored in the first-half

Dortmund won eight out of the previous ten H2H encounters including two out of the last four (two draws), while they were victorious in the past five meetings at the Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund scored at least two goals in each of those five duels, while Nurnberg never tasted a victory here and the hosts were better by the at least two-goal margin in each of the last five meetings in Dortmund.

MY PICK: Dortmund AH -1.5 (-103)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Dortmund scored three or more goals in each of the first two Bundesliga games at Signal Iduna Park in this season and considering that they beat Nurnberg with the identical, 3-0 result in the last two clashes here, I am backing the hosts to score at least three on this one.

MY PICK: Team Total: Dortmund Over 2.5 goals (+110)

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