Georgia State at Western Michigan Free Pick 9/14/19


The Georgia State Panthers (+11) are traveling north to visit the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN+.

Georgia State at Western Michigan Betting Odds 9/14/2019

The spread for this game is sitting at 11 points in favor of Western Michigan. The Panthers are currently getting +315 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -425. The over/under has been set at 65 points. There might be some good live betting opportunities for this contest.

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Early action has moved toward the Panthers. The line opened at -12 and the game’s over/under has yet to change after being set initially at 65.

The Panthers are 2-0 straight up (SU) while the Broncos are 1-1 SU. The Panthers have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2019 and are 1-0-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-0.

The Broncos have lost 1.0 unit this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Panthers are looking to remain undefeated after a 48-42 win over Furman last week. The defense allowed the Paladins to pass for 323 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 215 yards and two scores. Thomas Gordon was on a different level for the Paladins in that one with 163 yards and a score on eight catches. On the offensive side, Dan Ellington completed 29-of-37 passes for 362 yards and five touchdowns. Ellington (86 rushing yards on 15 attempts) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Seth Paige (64 yards on 13 carries) in the win. Cornelius McCoy (10 receptions, 143 yards, one TD) and Terrance Dixon (eight catches, 68 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Michigan State took care of this Western Michigan crew by a score of 51-17. The Broncos defense allowed the Spartans to pass for 331 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 251 yards and three scores. Elijah Collins had a productive outing, recording 192 rushing yards on 17 attempts for Michigan State. For Western Michigan, Jon Wassink completed 23-of-37 passes for 252 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. LeVante Bellamy (44 rushing yards on 15 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Giovanni Ricci (six receptions, 53 yards, one TD) and Keith Mixon Jr. (four catches, 71 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Georgia State’s run the ball on 60.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Western Michigan has a rush percentage of 47.6 percent. The Panthers have run for 209 yards per game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Broncos are totaling 79 rush yards per contest and have just one rushing TD.

It seems like the Panthers ought to own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.3 YPC to opponents. The Broncos have tallied 2.6 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.

The Panthers have tallied 251 yards per game in the air overall and have seven passing scores so far. The Broncos have produced 327 pass yards per outing and also have seven total pass TD.

Defensively, Georgia State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 154 yards and throw for 317 yards per game. Western Michigan has allowed 189.5 rushing yards per game and 262.5 to opponents in the air. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.88 to opponents, while the Panthers have given up an 8.40 ANY/A.

Wassink has tallied 252 yards, one TD and two INTs. Wassink’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at a mediocre 4.13 for the year and 9.50 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Ellington is up to 362 passing yards on the year, and has completed 29-of-37 attempts with five passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Ellington’s got a sparkling 12.49 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 9.90 over the last two games.

When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Western Michigan got the victory 34-15.

Georgia State Panthers vs. Western Michigan Broncos Free Pick

SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Georgia State’s last game was set at 61.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-42 victory over Furman.

Each team has lost one fumble this year.

The Over/Under for Western Michigan’s previous match was 46. The over cashed in the 51-17 defeat to Michigan State.

Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Panthers have have made two pass plays of 30+ yards while the Broncos have created six such plays.

The Georgia State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Western Michigan has given up one such play.

Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 or more yards. The Georgia State offense has recorded 11 running plays of 10+ yards while Western Michigan has accounted for five such plays.

The Panthers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Broncos have given up four such runs.

The Georgia State defense has seven sacks on the year while Western Michigan has three.

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