Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico Lobos Free Pick 01/07/20


The New Mexico Lobos (13-3, 2-1 MWC) can continue a seven-game home winning streak when they meet the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-10, 1-3 MWC) at Dreamstyle Arena. Action gets underway at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 7, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPNU.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. New Mexico Lobos Free Preview

The last time the Bulldogs played, they were victorious over the San Jose State Spartans, 79-64, covering as 12-point favorites. With 23 points and 14 rebounds, Fresno State’s Orlando Robinson had a solid outing. Fresno State played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.605 (above their season average of 0.496) and a turnover percentage of 12.4 (better than their season average of 17.0). San Jose State put up marks of 0.491 and 15.1, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 143 points, which finished over the O/U total of 138.

The Lobos are hoping for a better outcome after being unable to cover as 10-point favorites in their 88-85 loss to the San Jose State Spartans in their last matchup. Vance Jackson was New Mexico’s high scorer with 25 points on 7-for-14 shooting. San Jose State had a turnover percentage of 13.7 (better than their season average of 18.7). New Mexico, on the other hand, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (19-27; 70.4 percent). The two squads combined to record 173 points, which was well over the projected point total of 152.5.

It will be a showdown of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Lobos will look to push the slower-paced Bulldogs. The Lobos currently rank 52nd in possessions per game while the Bulldogs are 303rd.

Games including these teams tend to finish over the projected point total. Fresno State games have gone over 61.5 percent of the time, while 60.0 percent of New Mexico games have gone over. The Lobos have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (13-3 vs. 5-10) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (7-8 vs. 6-6-1).

This is the first time these teams will clash this year, after the Bulldogs won both games last season. In the last game, Fresno State won 81-73. The Bulldogs’ 7.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Lobos, who had a mark of 16.4.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. New Mexico Lobos Odds Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Lobos average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks 51st in the country. The Bulldogs rank 65th in steals allowed per game (5.8).

Fresno State is 33rd in the country with 2.5 blocks allowed per game while New Mexico is 37th with 2.6 blocks allowed per game.

On the road, Fresno State is 4-3 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.

At home, New Mexico is 4-5 ATS with 6 overs and 3 unders.

Fresno State averages 29.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 13th in the country. New Mexico ranks 252nd in three pointers allowed per game (27.1).

The Bulldogs rank 49th in assists allowed per game (10.8) while the Lobos rank 228th (16.3).

New Mexico ranks 92nd in rebounds per game (37.9) while Fresno State ranks 110th in rebounds allowed per game (34.3).

Bettings Trends:

New Mexico is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Fresno State is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Lobos’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 8.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 70.4 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.0 points per game (1.9 below their season average).

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