Lille is six points ahead of Lyon, and a potential win here would pretty much knock the visitors out of the race for the UCL place. On the other hand, Lyon is aware that a loss is not an option and will go for three points against a direct rival. The match between Lille and Lyon will take place at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on March 8th, 2020.
Lille vs. Lyon
Three-Way: 1: Lille +120; X: +244 Draw; 2: Lyon +268 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: Lille +112; Lyon -139
Total 2.5 goals: Over +118; Under -125
Lille’s 1-0 win away to Nantes in their last Ligue 1 outing bore some significance, with each of their previous four L1 victories being accompanied by a clean sheet. In fact, that has also been the case in 70% of their ten L1 home wins so far this campaign.
Usually strong starters at home, Lille has gone on to win each of the ten L1 home fixtures to see them lead at half-time. Unsurprisingly then, Lille possesses the division’s third-best defensive home record, after conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per-home fixture.
Christophe Galtier will be without Timothy Weah (muscle) and Yusuf Yazici (knee).
- Victor Osimhen has netted the match opener in nine of the 11 league games where he’s found the net this season
- Lille scored in both halves in a league-high 57.14% of their Ligue 1 home games this campaign
Olympique Lyonnais travels here after losing just two of their previous seven L1 road trips (W4, D1), with the opening goal being scored within 25 minutes on five occasions. However, the fact that Lyon kept just three clean sheets across their 14 away league games this term is concerning.
More encouragingly, though, the visitors have scored over 1.5 goals in 69.23% of their road trips this L1 season. Scoring first could be a game decider in any case, as Lyon is unbeaten in the five Ligue 1 road trips in which they scored the opening goal this campaign (W3, D2).
Rudi Garcia cannot count on Memphis Depay (knee) and Jeff Reine-Adelaide (knee).
- Moussa Dembélé has scored Lyon’s second goal in five of the last six L1 games where he has netted
- Nine (64.29%) of Lyon’s 14 Ligue 1 away fixtures have featured over 1.5 goals at half-time – a league-high
Lille won four of the previous ten H2H encounters (D4, L2), including the responding fixture earlier in the season when the Great Danes secured a 1-0 road victory. They were victorious in two of the past five meetings at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (D2, L1). Lille is one of the best home teams in Ligue 1 this season with just two losses in 14 games (W10, D2), and unlike Lyon, who is competing in the Champions League and will face Juventus in two weeks, the Great Danes can focus on the domestic league. Still, that doesn’t mean Lyon gave up on Ligue 1, and a win here would see them back into contention for the 3rd place. That’s why this game is vital for both teams, and I am going with a draw. Three of the last five H2Hs ended without a winner.
MY PICK: Draw (+244)
ADDITIONAL PICK: Six of the previous seven H2H duels produced goals on both ends; all six also produced Over 2.5 goals, while both rivals scored 2+ goals in four. Although only one of the last 15 L1 H2Hs has featured both sides scoring before the break, I am going with BTTS in this one.
MY PICK: BTTS YES (-109)