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French Ligue 1 Match of the Day Round 19 – Montpellier vs. Lyon (12/22/18)

La Paillade welcome third-placed Lyon knowing victory will see them leapfrog their opponents into the top three. The game between Montpellier and Lyon will take place at the Stade de la Mosson on December 22nd, 2018.

MONTPELLIER vs. LYON

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Three-Way: 1: Montpellier +240; X: +229 Draw; 2: Lyon +120 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +0.5: Montpellier -147; Lyon +118

Total 2.5 goals: Over +100; Under -120

MONTPELLIER

Montpellier sits fourth in Ligue 1 after an impressive run of just three defeats this term (W8, D5, L3) – their best start to a league season in six years. The foundations of their impressive campaign so far have been built on a solid defense. Only leaders PSG have conceded fewer goals than Montpellier’s total of 12. Therefore it is no surprise that six of their eight league wins this season have been to nil.

Still, La Paillade is experiencing a shaky form of late as they suffered three defeats in the previous six games including the latest one to the Champions League contenders Lille, but they did beat Marseille and Monaco in that span. Nicolas Pepe scored the only goal of the game in the 6th minute as Lille beat Montpellier at the Stade de la Mosson and created a five-point gap between the clubs.

Michel Der Zakarian doesn’t have any new injury-related concerns as almost all of the players are healthy and at his disposal. Keagan Dolly (broken leg), Paul Lasne (groin), and Jeremie Porsan-Clemente (toe) are listed as questionable for this tilt.

Betting Trends:

  • Montpellier forward GaëtanLaborde will be hoping to continue his impressive run of three goals in his previous five competitive appearances
  • Montpellier is yet to concede a home league goal between the 15th minute and half-time
  • Montpellier has been awarded the fewest penalties in the league (two) and is the only Ligue 1 side yet to convert from the spot
  • There have been over 2.5 goals in four of Montpellier’s last six matches

LYON

An intriguing battle is set to commence as Montpellier’s hardened defense comes up against Lyon’s lethal attack. Only reigning champions PSG have bested their tally of 29 league goals scored, with Les Gones scoring two or more goals in ten of their 17 league matches already this season.

Lyon won two of their previous five competitive matches against their opponents, with both sides sharing the spoils in two of those five games (W2, D2, L1). Notably, both teams scored in four of those matches. After going four games without a victory, Lyon recorded a couple of wins as they beat Monaco in the league and then Amiens on the road in Coupe de la Ligue.

Moussa Dembele gave Lyon a 1-0 lead from the penalty spot in the 20th minute before Bertrand Traore doubled the lead in the dying moments of the first half, while Martin Terrier scored the third for the visitors in the 60th. Lyon relaxed a bit in the final 20 minutes and conceded two goals but they secured their place in the quarter-finals.

Bruno Genesio cannot count on Rafael (hip) and Amine Gouiri (knee) who will definitely miss this one due to injury, while Jeremy Morel and Maxwel Cornet (muscle) are doubtful to face Montpellier.

Betting Trends:

  • Bertrand Traore scored in Lyon’s last away match (a 3-2 cup victory at Amiens) and has five Ligue 1 goals so far
  • Lyon scored nine of their 13 away goals in the second half
  • Lyon scored two or more goals in their last three Ligue 1 away matches

Lyon won six out of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L2), while the Kids were victorious in four out of the past six meetings at the Stade de la Mosson. The last time these rivals played a draw in Montpellier was in 2003 and I think it’s about time to have another draw here. Lyon is unbeaten in the last six road games and even though Montpellier is playing in a hot and cold form in front of their own fans recently, I am backing them to end this game unbeaten and that’s why I am going with a draw.

MY PICK: Draw (+229)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Five of Montpellier’s previous seven games produced at least three goals, while four of Lyon’s last six also produced three or more goals, and despite the fact that the bookies don’t believe this match will be a high-scoring one, I am going with over 2.5 goals. Each of Lyon’s last six road games produced goals on both sides, so I am going o sweeten up this with a BTTS and over 2.5 goals bet at +125.

MY PICK: BTTS and Over 2.5 (+125)

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