Alfredo Simon (0-3, 13.50 ERA) and Chase Anderson (1-3, 5.55 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (11-17) and the Milwaukee Brewers (11-16) at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 5 and can be seen on FSWI and FSOH.
Simon pitched 4.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking four in a 5-1 defeat to the Pirates. Eugenio Suarez (.269, 16 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Anderson went 4.1 innings, surrendering six runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking four in a 7-5 defeat to the Marlins in his last outing. Ryan Braun (.374, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 22 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
The odds for Cincinnati and Milwaukee are Reds -115, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently 9.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL
The Reds and Brewers both hold losing records against teams in the NL Central. The Reds sit at 5-11 in these matchups and the Brewers have a 2-6 record.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 1-5 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-16. The Reds have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 25 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half with 28.
Cincinnati and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at 27th with 7.50 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 24th with 7.78.
Ranking 26th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.675). Milwaukee ranks in the top half with an OPS of .729.
The Brewers are 9-14 when they allow at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 9-16 record.