Brandon Finnegan (1-1, 3.97 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (13-17) meet Jimmy Nelson (4-2, 3.05 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (11-18) in the third of a four-game division series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 5-1, and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 7 and will air on FSWI and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, Finnegan pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking three in a 9-6 loss to the Giants. Adam Duvall (.247, 11 Rs, 5 HRs, 10 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. The Brewers were victorious the last time Nelson pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out six and walking three in an 8-5 victory over the Angels. Chris Carter (.283, 18 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
The odds are Cincinnati -115 for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 9 at the moment.
The previous two games have all gone Cincinnati's way.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL
The Reds and Brewers both hold losing records against teams in the NL Central. The Reds sit at 7-11 in these matchups and the Brewers have a 2-8 record.
The Reds managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with an 8-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Reds have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 8-4. The Brewers have a 9-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 121 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 11th with 125.
Ranking 26th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 72 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 111.
The Reds are 10-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 8-8 when they hit at least one homer.