John Lamb (0-0, 1.50 ERA) and Junior Guerra (1-0, 6.00 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (13-18) and the Milwaukee Brewers (12-18) at the Great American Ball Park. The Brewers won the last game 13-7, and Cincinnati leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 8 and can be seen on FSWI and FSOH.
Lamb pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking three in a 3-1 defeat to the Giants. Brandon Phillips (.297, 16 Rs, 6 HRs, 16 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs. Guerra went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 5-4 win over the Angels in his most recent start. Chris Carter (.288, 20 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs.
The odds for Cincinnati and Milwaukee are Reds -130, while the Over/Under (O/U) is 9 as of now.
The Reds lead the season series, 2-1.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL
The Reds and Brewers both hold losing records against teams in the NL Central. The Reds sit at 7-12 in these matchups and the Brewers have a 3-8 record.
Cincinnati has won 43% (6-8) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 44% (4-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 13 runs. The Reds have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 8-4. The Brewers have a 10-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 15th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 128 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 138.
Ranking 28th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 73 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 113.
The Reds are 10-9 when they hit at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 9-8 record.