Jimmy Nelson (4-2, 3.74 ERA) and James Shields (1-5, 3.60 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (14-20) and the San Diego Padres (15-20) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 12 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSD.
Nelson pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking one in a 13-7 win over the Reds. Ryan Braun (.380, 20 Rs, 7 HRs, 27 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one RBI. Shields went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out eight and walking five in a 6-3 defeat to the Mets in his last outing.
The odds for Milwaukee and San Diego are Brewers -140, while the Over/Under (O/U) is 8.5 as of now.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL
The Padres won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 5-3. The Padres are 4-7 in close games this season.
When leading after seven innings, Milwaukee is 5-7, while San Diego is 7-10.
The Padres managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 7-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 12-3. The Padres have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, San Diego has earned 131 this season. Milwaukee ranks ninth with 156 runs.
Ranking 25th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 91 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at fourth with 137.
The Brewers are 10-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 12-5 when they hit at least one homer.