Steven Matz (5-1, 2.86 ERA) and the New York Mets (22-18) go up against Wily Peralta (2-4, 7.30 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (18-23) in the first of a three-game series at Citi Field. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 20 and will air on FSWI and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Matz pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-2 victory over the Dodgers. Neil Walker (.261, 16 Rs, 10 HRs, 20 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. The Brewers were unsuccessful against the Padres 8-7 the last time Peralta pitched. He went 4.2 innings, allowing six runs, striking out three and walking three. Ryan Braun (.364, 21 Rs, 7 HRs, 28 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
The odds are Mets -200 for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently 7.5.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL
Milwaukee has won 40% (6-9) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, New York has won 56% (5-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 14-4. The Brewers have a 16-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 156 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 14th with 177.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 134 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 172.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 18-7. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 13-9 record.