Adam Conley (3-2, 3.40 ERA) and Max Scherzer (4-3, 4.01 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (22-20) and the Washington Nationals (26-17) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 3-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 22 and can be seen on MASN and FSFL.
Conley pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in a 5-3 win over the Phillies. Marcell Ozuna (.312, 25 Rs, 8 HRs, 22 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run. Scherzer went 6.1 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out 10 and walking three in a 2-0 defeat to the Mets in his most recent start. Daniel Murphy (.390, 24 Rs, 6 HRs, 27 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
The Nationals are a -140 road favorite and the total is 7.
Pick - MIA
The Marlins hold a 10-14 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Nationals' record in these matchups is 16-11.
Miami has won 44% (7-9) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Washington has won 65% (11-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Nationals managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are heading in with a 10-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 17-4. The Nationals have a 20-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 166 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 13th with 183.
Ranking 14th, Washington is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.727). Miami ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .757.
The Nationals are 14-14 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 9-10 when they allow at least one homer.