Clayton Kershaw (6-1, 1.67 ERA) takes the hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers (22-23) as they square off against Brandon Finnegan (1-2, 4.44 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (15-29) in the first of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Reds come into this series hoping to snap a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 23 and can be seen on SNLA and FSOH.
Kershaw pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run and striking out 11 in a 5-1 win over the Angels. Joc Pederson (.254, 21 Rs, 8 HRs, 21 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 7 with one run. Finnegan went 5.2 innings, surrendering four runs (one unearned) and striking out six in an 8-7 defeat to the Indians in his last outing. Adam Duvall (.264, 17 Rs, 8 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
As you would expect, the Reds are one of the biggest underdogs ever. The Dodgers are a -365 favorite with a total of 6.5.
Pick - LAD
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Dodgers are 4-7. The Reds are 7-9 in close games this season.
When leading after seven innings, Los Angeles is 7-10, while Cincinnati is 7-14.
The Reds managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are heading in with a 7-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 10-4. The Dodgers have an 18-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, Cincinnati sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 176 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half at 11th with 194.
Los Angeles and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Los Angeles sits at 22nd with an OPS of .696, and Cincinnati ranks 25th with an OPS of .685.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 11-25, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 6-17 when allowing at least one homer.