Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Julio Teheran (1-4, 2.73 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (12-31) go up against Jimmy Nelson (4-3, 3.07 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (18-26) in the first of a three-game series at Turner Field. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 24 and will air on FSWI and FSSE.
In his most recent outing, Teheran pitched 7.2 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out three in a 3-1 victory over the Pirates. Freddie Freeman (.272, 19 Rs, 8 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 Sunday. The Brewers were unsuccessful the last time Nelson pitched. He pitched well, going 7.1 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out five and walking four in a 2-1 loss to the Cubs. Chris Carter (.247, 25 Rs, 13 HRs, 31 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Sunday.
The Braves are a -120 favorite with a total of 7.
Pick - MIL
Atlanta has won 27% (4-11) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 40% (6-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 7-1 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 9-6. The Brewers have a 16-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 137 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 184.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.617). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .719.
The Brewers are 14-22 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 3-23 when they allow at least one homer.