Drew Smyly (2-5, 3.54 ERA) and Jose Fernandez (6-2, 3.02 ERA) start in the second of a two-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (21-23) and the Miami Marlins (24-22) at Tropicana Field. The Marlins won the last game 4-3, and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 26 and can be seen on FSFL and SUN.
Smyly pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Tigers. Steve Pearce (.301, 17 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Fernandez went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out nine and walking one in a 3-2 win over the Nationals in his most recent start. Marcell Ozuna (.331, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 25 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
The odds for Tampa Bay and Miami are Marlins -110, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently 6.5.
The Marlins lead the season series, 2-1.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB
The Marlins won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rays are 4-7. The Marlins are 8-6 in close games this season.
When leading after seven innings, Tampa Bay is 9-9, while Miami is 8-11.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rays who are heading in with a 10-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 15-4. The Marlins have a 19-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Miami has earned 182 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 20th with 187 runs.
Tampa Bay and Miami both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Tampa Bay sits at 18th with 136 this season and Miami ranks 20th with 135.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 18-17. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 19-11 record.