MLB Picks


Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals

Starting Pitchers: Maholm (Braves) vs. Strasburg (Nationals)

Date/Time: August 21st, 7:05 P.M. EST

Television: MLB Network

MLB Odds from BetDSI

Moneyline: Braves +155 Nationals -165

Total: 7 (Over -110)



MLB Betting Game Trends

Atlanta Braves

  • Atlanta is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Washington

Washington Nationals

  • Washington is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
  • Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • Washington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta


Game Overview

The top two teams in the National League East are going to meet up in our nation's capitol on Tuesday night for some MLB betting action, as the Atlanta Braves take on the Washington Nationals.

It is going to be a long battle for the Braves to get back in the NL East race, and if they end up losing this series, they can probably forget about their chances to get a full playoff series this year. Atlanta is still sitting pretty in the Wild Card chase, 3.5 games up on the Pittsburgh Pirates and four up on the Los Angeles Dodgers coming into this series. Paul Maholm was a relatively quiet pickup for Atlanta at the trade deadline, but over the course of his first three starts with the Braves, he has been fantastic. The lefty is 2-1, and he has allowed just four runs in 23 frames. For the year, Maholm is now 11-7 with a 3.39 ERA, but there is definitely a major cause for concern. This is a pitcher that was just 53-73 before this season, and his career ERA is still 4.25. Batters are hitting .278 against him for his career, and those numbers probably aren't going to stay this much better forever. Against the Nats in his career, Maholm is also just 1-5 with a 5.56 ERA, and that isn't going to cut it, especially considering who is lining up against him on Tuesday…

Give the Nationals credit, as they just keep putting their foot on the gas pedal. They were able to take care of the Braves last night in extra innings, and their march towards the NL East title, and potentially home field advantage throughout the playoffs seems to be inevitable. There is still a lot of season left though, and Manager Davey Johnson knows it. That's why he had to think that it was a bit absurd when the team has even thought about shutting down Stephen Strasburg, the man who is going to be on the bump on Tuesday. Strausburg has been virtually unhittable all season long, as he has gone 14-5 with a 2.91 ERA. Batters are hitting .225 against him, and his WHIP is 1.13. More importantly are those insane 173 strikeouts in just 139.1 innings of work. The bad news is that the righty is clearly going to be limited and probably won't throw more than six frames regardless of what is going on in the game. There are supposedly just 21 more innings that the righty can throw before the team is going to shut him down for the year, but we'll believe that when we see it.


We think that there is a massive overreaction here to the fact that Strasburg is likely only throwing six frames. The Washington bullpen doesn't blow leads often, and we don't think that this is going to be all that much of an exception. Look for the Nats to scratch out four runs or so, and that should be enough to put another 'W' in the win column. Washington 4 – Atlanta 2