MLB Picks

Preview


Tampa Bay Rays
vs.
Texas Rangers

Starting Pitchers: Price (Rays) vs. Holland (Rangers)

Date/Time: August 27th, 8:05 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Odds from BetDSI

Moneyline: Rays -120 Rangers +110

Total: 8.5 (Over -115)

BetDSI

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Tampa Bay is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
  • Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Texas

Texas Rangers

  • Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
  • Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

 

Game Overview

Two teams that have met with one another in each of the last two postseasons meet once again on Monday for the start of a crucial MLB betting series in Arlington, as the Tampa Bay Rays duke it out with the Texas Rangers on ESPN.

Tampa Bay is still within striking distance in the AL East, but the team is far more concerned about just getting into the playoffs. With such a great record on the road (35-27), anything is possible, and the Rays are favored because they are throwing their Cy Young Award candidate tonight. David Price is 16-4 with a 2.28 ERA, and if there was any doubt before about just how good he is, there certainly isn't anymore. This is a man that is pitching as well as anyone in baseball has over the course of the last few years, and 20 wins seems like a foregone conclusion. Price has thrown 17 straight scoreless innings, and he has allowed just a total of two runs in his last 30 innings of work. Batters are hitting just .216 against the southpaw, and he has a WHIP of just 1.07. Sure, Price walks a few more batters than Manager Joe Maddon would like (50 in 170 innings of work), but he makes up for that with a K/9 ratio of just about 9.00. Price has never pitched well against the Rangers though, including losing three times to them over the course of the last two years in the playoffs.

Texas is continuing to run away with matters in the AL West, and it is going to be looking for a third straight trip to the World Series this year. One of the key cogs in the rotation is Derek Holland, and he'll have the dubious task of having to go against Price in this one. Holland isn't having anywhere near as good of a year as he did last season when he won 16 games. He is a respectable 8-6 this year, but the lefty has really been incredibly unlucky. Last year when he went 16-5, Holland had a 1.35 WHIP, and batters hit .262 against him. This year, his WHIP is down 15 points, and batters are only hitting .239 against him. The big problem has been the home run ball, as Holland already has more dingers conceded this year (23) as he did all of last season (23). That's why his ERA is up nearly a run from 3.95 to 4.92.

Prediction

Tampa Bay has played as well as any team in baseball over the course of the last six weeks or so, and we aren't too worried about the fact that it enters this one having lost the last two games of its weekend series. The Rays have moxie like none other, and Price might be the best pitcher in baseball. Making us lay just -120 with him on the mound seems like a gift in spite of his woeful history against the Rangers. Tampa Bay 5 – Texas 3