Junior Guerra (3-1, 3.61 ERA) and Matt Harvey (4-8, 4.95 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (28-32) and the New York Mets (33-26) at Miller Park. The Mets won the last game 5-2, and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on FSWI and SNY.
Guerra pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-3 win over the Phillies. Chris Carter (.228, 30 Rs, 16 HRs, 39 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Harvey went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run and striking out three in a 1-0 defeat to the Marlins in his last outing. Yoenis Cespedes (.278, 33 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
The Mets are a -130 road favorite with a total of 8.
Pick - Mil
When leading after seven innings, New York is 10-6, while Milwaukee is 10-14.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 1-4 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 24-5. The Mets have a 23-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 220 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 246.
Ranking 21st, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.719). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .723.
The Mets are 12-16 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 22-28 record.