When betting on baseball there is always tremendous value in betting an underdog. If a baseball handicapper can successfully bet on underdogs they can expect a profit in baseball even if they have a record below .500. Tonight’s picks focus on how to find an underdog that could pay off big time.
Here are the Free MLB Picks for Tuesday August 19th
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
It is hard to find a team that has been inconsistent this season as the Cincinnati Reds. They have had to deal with injuries to some of their best players and this has stopped this team from living up to its potential. The one thing that has been consistent is the pitching of starter Alfredo Simon. Despite his recent struggles he is one of the surprises of this rotation. He is 7-4 on the road and the Cardinals have never faced him. The Cardinals seem to struggle in pitching duels as the Cardinals are 2-6 in their last 8 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Getting value in an underdog always starts with the starting pitching. Simon will give the Cardinals a chance to win at this big price.
Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +145
Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
As mentioned starting pitching always provides some value when betting on underdogs and it becomes even more valuable when the underdog is at home. When the White Sox take on the Orioles they will be at home and they will be taking on lefty Jose Quintana a crafty pitcher, who has only allowed four earned runs in his last three starts against Baltimore. The Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and they lose this game as the White Sox get a win at home as an underdog.
Free Pick: Chicago White Sox +100
LA Angels at Boston Red Sox
When looking for a live underdog when betting baseball sometimes it is all about matchups. The Red Sox are having an awful season while the Angels are in the playoff hunt, but Jered Weaver does not do well against Boston. He has lost two out of his last three starts in front of the Green Monster and has never pitched more than seven innings in those starts. The Angels are 2-5 in Weavers last 7 road starts against the Red Sox and the Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Red Sox may not be having the best season, but there is still value in taking this team at home as an underdog.
Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +130