National League Division Series Game 2: St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: October 4, 9:37 p.m. ET
TV: MLB Network
MLB Betting Odds From 5Dimes Sportsbook
Probable Starters: STL: Lance Lynn (0-0, 0.00) v. LAD Zack Greinke (0-0,0.00)
The encore performance to the Adam Wainwright-Clayton Kershaw pitching matchup in Game 1 isn’t too shabby in its own right. Lance Lynn will take the ball for the Cardinals before the series heads back to St. Louis for Game 3. He’ll be opposed by Zack Greinke. Between Friday’s starters and Saturday’s starters, these are two of the best 1-2 punches in baseball. Wainwright and Lynn combined for a 35-19 record and a 2.55 ERA, while Kershaw and Greinke were 38-11 with a 2.25 ERA.
The postseason has not been kind to Lance Lynn. Mostly working in relief, Lynn has a 5-4 record and a 4.81 ERA in 39.1 career playoff innings. Lynn has made five playoff starts and he has failed to finish six innings in all five of them. He has a 5.56 ERA in those five starts. He finished the regular season on a strong run with a 2.22 ERA over his final 14 starts. The Cardinals were just 7-7 in those 14 games, however, and Lynn only received 3.57 runs of support per start this season. Lynn gave up five home runs over his final three starts, so the layoff between starts could be beneficial to him.
After falling flat for the Milwaukee Brewers in their 2011 playoff appearance, Greinke was terrific during the 2013 playoffs. The Dodgers were bounced in the NLCS, but Greinke was 1-0 with a 2.40 in two starts in that series. Greinke posted a 2.57 ERA in three postseason starts last year. Overshadowed by rotation mate Clayton Kershaw, Greinke’s ERA never reached 3.00 following a start after his second start of the season. His K/BB ratio was nearly 5/1 and he allowed two runs or less in 21 of his 32 starts.
Lynn is 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA in his career against the Dodgers. That spans five starts and 26 innings. This season, Lynn allowed nine runs in eight innings over two starts against the Dodgers. The Cardinals are 19-14 for a profit of 1.96 units. Twenty of Lynn’s 33 starts stayed under the total.
Greinke is 9-4 with a 3.17 ERA in 82.1 career innings against the Cardinals. The former Royal and Brewer has 12 starts and two relief appearances against the Cardinals. Greinke allowed five runs in 12.2 innings against the Cardinals this season. The Dodgers are 19-13 for a profit of 1.32 units in Greinke’s 32 starts.
Free MLB Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
Zack Greinke would get a lot more attention if not for Clayton Kershaw. The same can be said of Lance Lynn and Adam Wainwright, but it’s hard to say that Lynn is on Greinke’s level. Greinke was strong in last season’s playoffs and Lynn has had trouble in the spotlight. The advantage goes to the Dodgers in this one and they should be able to take care of business in Game 2.