National League Championship Series Game 2: San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: October 12, 8:07 p.m. ET
MLB Betting Odds From 5Dimes Sportsbook
Probable Starters: SF: Jake Peavy (0-0, 0.00) v. STL: Lance Lynn (0-0, 0.00)
The San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals opened up the National League Championship Series on Saturday night with a Giants 3-0 win. The Giants will look to take a command 2-0 lead in the series on Sunday night with Jake Peavy on the mound against Lance Lynn. The Cardinals are hoping to tie the series before making the long trip out to San Francisco. Keep in mind that the ALCS and NLCS use the 2-3-2 format, so that always adds extra importance to Game 2.
Jake Peavy has been spectacular since the Giants acquired him from the Boston Red Sox. Peavy struggled a lot with the Red Sox, but returning to the National League has helped revitalize Peavy’s career. Peavy was 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA for the Red Sox, but he was 6-4 with a 2.17 ERA for the Giants. Peavy threw 5.2 shutout innings in his NLDS start against the Nationals and gave up only two hits. His control was not sharp, though, as he walked three and struck out three, but it took him 104 pitches to get through 21 batters. Peavy is just 1-3 with a 7.39 ERA in six career postseason starts.
Lance Lynn is only 27 years old and in his fourth season as a Major Leaguer, he took a major step forward. Lynn was 15-10 for the second straight season, but he lowered his ERA from 3.97 to 2.74. His FIP was right in line with his career average, so a regression could be expected in his ERA next year, but the Cardinals are a solid defensive team and that has helped Lynn. In his NLDS start against the Dodgers, Lynn through seven quality innings in a no-decision, which the Cardinals eventually won. Overall, Lynn is now 5-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 22 career appearances, six starts, in the postseason.
Peavy is 3-4 with a 2.97 ERA in nine career starts against the Cardinals. Peavy has not faced the Cardinals since 2012 and current Cardinals hitters have just 120 career plate appearances against Peavy. The Giants were 8-4 in Peavy’s 12 regular season starts and Peavy was the winning pitcher in his NLDS start.
Lynn is 0-3 with a 7.98 ERA in three career starts against the Giants. In Lynn’s lone start against the Giants this season, he gave up seven runs, four earned, on eight hits in just 3.1 innings of work. The Cardinals were 19-14 in Lynn’s 33 starts and won in his lone NLDS outing.
Free MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
Lance Lynn’s sample size against the Giants is entirely too small to be significant and should not be a concern for bettors in this game. The Cardinals have been tremendous at home all season long and Peavy really fought with his control in his last outing. The Giants don’t send very many impactful left-handed bats at Lynn and he has had very good platoon splits against right-handed hitters in his career. That should give him the edge here, despite his three-start sample in the past.