In the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (28-33) and the New York Mets (34-26) at Miller Park, Wily Peralta (3-7, 6.79 ERA) and Logan Verrett (3-3, 3.22 ERA) get the ball. The Mets won the last game 2-1, and New York leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 11 and will air on FSWI and WPIX.
In his most recent outing, Peralta pitched 4.1 innings, allowing six runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in an 8-1 loss to the Phillies. The Mets were also unsuccessful the last time Verrett pitched. He tossed 2.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 3-1 loss to the Pirates. Yoenis Cespedes (.281, 34 Rs, 16 HRs, 39 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
The Mets are a -140 favorite with a total of 9.5.
Pick - Nym
In their last game, the Mets won by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 11-9 in one-run games. The Mets have a 13-8 record in close games.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 13-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
It looks like the Mets have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Mets have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 24-5. The Mets have a 24-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Milwaukee ranks 21st with 247 runs and New York is 28th with 222.
Milwaukee and New York both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Milwaukee sits at 19th with an OPS of .718, and New York ranks 17th with an OPS of .720.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 12-16, well-matched with the Brewers who are 22-29 when allowing at least one homer.