World Series Game 6: San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals

Date/Time: October 28, 8:07 p.m. ET


MLB Betting Odds From 5Dimes Sportsbook

Probable Starters: SF: Jake Peavy (0-1, 7.20) v. KC: Yordano Ventura (0-0, 3.38)

Moneyline: Kansas City -140

Total: 7

On the strength of ace Madison Bumgarner, the San Francisco Giants are one win away from their third World Series championship since 2010. Standing in the way is Kansas City Royals phenom Yordano Ventura. The Giants did what they needed to do at home, taking two out of three games to give themselves a chance to win the World Series without a winner-take-all Game 7. Most importantly, the Giants only have to win one out of the two games remaining, while the Royals have to win both. In the history of the World Series, teams that have to close out the series on the road are just 20-13 in the series and they are just 10-23 in Game 6. Kansas City is a sizable favorite to win Game 6.

Jake Peavy’s mediocre postseason continued in Game 2 of the World Series when he allowed four runs on six hits over five innings of work. Again, Peavy struggled with his command and he only recorded one strikeout out of the 22 batters that he faced. In three starts this postseason, Peavy is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA, but the peripherals aren’t as kind as the ERA. He has only thrown 58 percent strikes and has a 6/8 K/BB ratio. He has also averaged less than five innings per start. He hasn’t given Bruce Bochy must to be happy about so far and the workload of his second 200-inning season since 2007 has clearly had an impact.

Yordano Ventura was serviceable in the biggest start of his career to date and now he has to keep his team alive in their quest for a World Series. In his first full season at the Major League level, the 23-year-old right hander has a 4.42 ERA in 18.1 postseason innings. Take away the inexplicable relief appearance he had in the Wild Card game and Ventura is 0-0 with a 3.50 ERA in his three starts. He’s still searching for his first career playoff win, but the Royals are 3-0 in Ventura’s starts. He gave up two runs on eight hits in his 5.1 innings in Game 2. He showed some signs of being a rookie, but his poise and ability to minimize damage was important.

Peavy is 5-7 with a 4.97 ERA in his career against the Royals, though the majority of those starts came when he was with the Chicago White Sox. Prior to Game 2, he had last faced them in 2013. Including his World Series start, Peavy has a 5.87 ERA against the Royals over his last nine starts. The Giants were 8-4 in his 12 regular season starts and they are 1-2 in his three postseason starts.

Ventura made his first career start against the Giants in Game 2. In his interleague career, including that start, Ventura is 2-0 with a 3.47 ERA over 23.1 innings of work. The Royals were 18-12 in Ventura’s 30 starts and are 3-0 in his three postseason starts.

Free MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants

Thanks to Madison Bumgarner’s heroics in Game 5, the Giants have Yusmeiro Petit at their disposal in Game 6 and that’s big because they can go to him in the even that Peavy gets in trouble. All of the pressure is on the Royals and young Yordano Ventura. This is the first time that they’ve had their playoff lives on the line and that creates a much different dynamic. Peavy isn’t pitching well, but he has a lot more experience to rely on.