Jimmy Nelson (2-9, 4.93 ERA) and Vance Worley (8-4, 2.85 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (0-4) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3) at Miller Park. The Pirates won the last game 6-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 11 and can be seen on ROOT-PIT and FSN-WI.
Nelson will take the mound after recording 69.1 innings last year, closing out the season with a 2-9 record, 4.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and 57 strikeouts. Adam Lind (.615 ) had a good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two RBIs. When pitching against the Brewers, Worley is 1-3 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts. Pedro Alvarez (.357 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Pirates, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Milwaukee is a -122 favorite against Pittsburgh and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. Logging a disappointing -388 overall money line and 0-3 record as favorite, the Brewers have had a difficult start to the season. The Brewers have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in home offense with 2.0 runs per game. The Brewers are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 7.3 per game.
As for their opponent, Pittsburgh has a winless record of 0-2 playing as the underdog and a disappointing overall money line of -329 so far this season. The Pirates are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 7.0 hits per road game.
The Pirates have the edge in the season series, 1-0.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
Neither the Brewers nor the Pirates have won a game in extra innings, both going 0-1 in such matchups.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Milwaukee has hit one this season. Pittsburgh ranks seventh with four home runs.
Milwaukee and Pittsburgh both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at sixth with 7.33 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks ninth with 7.00.
Ranking 20th, Milwaukee is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.614). Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .676.
When the Pirates allow at least one home run, the team is 0-3. Milwaukee has the same record when it allows one or more homers.