Henderson Alvarez (0-1, 2.57 ERA) and Nathan Karns (0-1, 9.53 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (1-4) and the Tampa Bay Rays (2-3) at Marlins Park. The Rays won the last game 2-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 12 and can be seen on SunSports and FSN-FL.
Alvarez is 1-5 with a 4.78 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and 20 strikeouts against the Rays. Christian Yelich (.316 ) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Karns went 5.2 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out four and walking four in a 6-5 defeat to the Orioles in his last outing. Kevin Kiermaier (.353 ) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a -160 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -307 and a record as the favorite of 1-3. In interleague play, they are unbeaten both as the favorite (1-0) and SU (1-0)The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 10.0 runs per game. They average 3.2 runs per game on the season. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 8.0 per game. Miami is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Miami's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 9.0 against AL teams, compared to its 6.2 season average.
Over in the other dugout, Tampa Bay has a winless record of 0-2 playing as the underdog and a disappointing overall money line of -222 so far this season. Offensively, they average nine runs per game on the road, which is the best in the AL. The Rays are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the AL with 10.0 hits per road game. Tampa Bay is excellent at drawing walks with 5.2 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.0 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the Miami Marlins, the Rays now have two shutouts this season. The Marlins have been shut out in two games this season.
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Rays are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 1-1. The Rays have a 2-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Miami has earned 13 this season. Tampa Bay ranks eighth with 20 runs.
Ranking sixth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 16 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top five at second with 24.
The Rays are 0-2 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 1-2 when they allow at least one homer.