Eric Stults (0-0, 5.40 ERA) and Dan Haren (0-0, 1.50 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (6-2) and the Miami Marlins (2-6) at Turner Field. The Marlins won the last game 8-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 12:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 15 and can be seen on FSN-FL and SPSO.
Stults is 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and 25 strikeouts against the Marlins. Freddie Freeman (.250 ) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Against the Braves, Haren is 6-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and 45 strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.364 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one RBI, and two stolen bases.
Miami is a slim -108 favorite over Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. With a record of 4-0 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of +564, the Braves have fared well so far this season. While undefeated as the underdog with a 4-0 within their division, they have a less than perfect 6-1 SU record. The Braves have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.4 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Braves, who have a team ERA of only 1.86. The Braves are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 6.4 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Miami has a 1-5 record and an overall money line of -638. They is winless amongst teams in their division. They have a record of 0-3 when playing as the favorite and 0-4 SU. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 2.9 runs per game by averaging 1.2 in those contests. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with eight stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins average 5.4 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.8 against division foes.
The Braves lead the season series, 4-1. The Braves have a 5-1 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Haren takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Braves hold a 6-2 record against the NL East Division this season, while the Marlins have a 1-4 record against the division.
The Marlins are 1-0 when they go into extra innings.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 2-1. The Braves have a 4-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Miami has earned 28 this season. Atlanta ranks 11th with 34 runs.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 23 this season. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 28.
The Braves are 3-2 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 0-1 when they hit at least one homer.